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A Novel Wind Speed Interval Prediction Based on Error Prediction Method
Tang, Geng1; Wu, Yifan1; Li, Chaoshun1; Wong, Pak Kin2; Xiao, Zhihuai3; An, Xueli4
2020-11-01
Source PublicationIEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics
ISSN1551-3203
Volume16Issue:11Pages:6806-6815
Abstract

Wind speed interval prediction plays an important role in wind power generation. In this article, a new interval construction model based on error prediction is proposed. The variational mode decomposition is used to decompose the complex wind speed time series into simplified modes. Two types of GRU models are built for wind speed prediction and error prediction. Prediction error for each mode is given a weight and accumulated to obtain the width of the prediction interval. The particle swarm optimization algorithm is applied to search for the optimal weights of the prediction errors. Experiments considering eight cases from two wind fields are conducted by using methods of interval construction in the literature for comparison with the proposed model. The result shows that the proposed model can obtain prediction intervals with higher quality.

KeywordDeep Learning Error Prediction Gated Recurrent Unit Interval Prediction Wind Speed Prediction
DOI10.1109/TII.2020.2973413
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaAutomation & Control Systems ; Computer Science ; Engineering
WOS SubjectAutomation & Control Systems ; Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Engineering, Industrial
WOS IDWOS:000554904700007
PublisherIEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC, 445 HOES LANE, PISCATAWAY, NJ 08855-4141
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85089344846
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
DEPARTMENT OF ELECTROMECHANICAL ENGINEERING
Corresponding AuthorLi, Chaoshun
Affiliation1.School of Hydropower and Information Engineering,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,China
2.Department of Electromechanical Engineering, Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau,Macao
3.College of Power Mechanical Engineering,Wuhan University,Wuhan,China
4.Department of Hydraulic Machinery,China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing,China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Tang, Geng,Wu, Yifan,Li, Chaoshun,et al. A Novel Wind Speed Interval Prediction Based on Error Prediction Method[J]. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 2020, 16(11), 6806-6815.
APA Tang, Geng., Wu, Yifan., Li, Chaoshun., Wong, Pak Kin., Xiao, Zhihuai., & An, Xueli (2020). A Novel Wind Speed Interval Prediction Based on Error Prediction Method. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 16(11), 6806-6815.
MLA Tang, Geng,et al."A Novel Wind Speed Interval Prediction Based on Error Prediction Method".IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics 16.11(2020):6806-6815.
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