Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
A Novel Wind Speed Interval Prediction Based on Error Prediction Method | |
Tang, Geng1; Wu, Yifan1; Li, Chaoshun1; Wong, Pak Kin2; Xiao, Zhihuai3; An, Xueli4 | |
2020-11-01 | |
Source Publication | IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics |
ISSN | 1551-3203 |
Volume | 16Issue:11Pages:6806-6815 |
Abstract | Wind speed interval prediction plays an important role in wind power generation. In this article, a new interval construction model based on error prediction is proposed. The variational mode decomposition is used to decompose the complex wind speed time series into simplified modes. Two types of GRU models are built for wind speed prediction and error prediction. Prediction error for each mode is given a weight and accumulated to obtain the width of the prediction interval. The particle swarm optimization algorithm is applied to search for the optimal weights of the prediction errors. Experiments considering eight cases from two wind fields are conducted by using methods of interval construction in the literature for comparison with the proposed model. The result shows that the proposed model can obtain prediction intervals with higher quality. |
Keyword | Deep Learning Error Prediction Gated Recurrent Unit Interval Prediction Wind Speed Prediction |
DOI | 10.1109/TII.2020.2973413 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Automation & Control Systems ; Computer Science ; Engineering |
WOS Subject | Automation & Control Systems ; Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Engineering, Industrial |
WOS ID | WOS:000554904700007 |
Publisher | IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC, 445 HOES LANE, PISCATAWAY, NJ 08855-4141 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85089344846 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Science and Technology DEPARTMENT OF ELECTROMECHANICAL ENGINEERING |
Corresponding Author | Li, Chaoshun |
Affiliation | 1.School of Hydropower and Information Engineering,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,China 2.Department of Electromechanical Engineering, Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau,Macao 3.College of Power Mechanical Engineering,Wuhan University,Wuhan,China 4.Department of Hydraulic Machinery,China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing,China |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Tang, Geng,Wu, Yifan,Li, Chaoshun,et al. A Novel Wind Speed Interval Prediction Based on Error Prediction Method[J]. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 2020, 16(11), 6806-6815. |
APA | Tang, Geng., Wu, Yifan., Li, Chaoshun., Wong, Pak Kin., Xiao, Zhihuai., & An, Xueli (2020). A Novel Wind Speed Interval Prediction Based on Error Prediction Method. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 16(11), 6806-6815. |
MLA | Tang, Geng,et al."A Novel Wind Speed Interval Prediction Based on Error Prediction Method".IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics 16.11(2020):6806-6815. |
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