UM  > Faculty of Science and Technology  > DEPARTMENT OF ELECTROMECHANICAL ENGINEERING
Residential Collegefalse
Status已發表Published
Adaptive short-term wind power forecasting with concept drifts
Li, Yanting1; Wu, Zhenyu1; Su, Yan2
2023-08-16
Source PublicationRenewable Energy
ISSN0960-1481
Volume217Pages:119146
Abstract

The instability of wind power has a serious impact on the power grid system, and an accurate wind power forecasting is greatly demanded in practice. Due to the time-varying nature, the distribution of weather variables such as wind speed, wind direction and temperature and/or the functional relationship of the power output relating to these weather variables are likely to change over time, which are often known as “concept drifts”. However, most of the prediction models usually fail to adapt to such concept drifts. This would deteriorate the prediction accuracy, especially for the short-term prediction with high accuracy requirements. Motivated by this, this paper proposes an adaptive short-term wind power prediction method, aimed at automatically detecting the occurrence of concept drifts and updating the forecast model accordingly. The proposed method consists of three main steps, extract sample-related and sequence-related features of the weather data, cluster the data based on the similarity of the features extracted, and develop a new power prediction model with automatic drift detection and adaptation for each cluster. The comparison results show that the prediction performance of the proposed method is superior to that of the competitive methods.

KeywordAdaptive Prediction Concept Drift Feature Extraction Numerical Weather Prediction Wind Power Forecasting Wind Turbine
DOI10.1016/j.renene.2023.119146
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS SubjectGreen & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels
WOS IDWOS:001065786600001
PublisherPERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTDTHE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85168590275
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF ELECTROMECHANICAL ENGINEERING
Corresponding AuthorSu, Yan
Affiliation1.Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
2.Department of Electromechanical Engineering, University of Macau, Macao
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li, Yanting,Wu, Zhenyu,Su, Yan. Adaptive short-term wind power forecasting with concept drifts[J]. Renewable Energy, 2023, 217, 119146.
APA Li, Yanting., Wu, Zhenyu., & Su, Yan (2023). Adaptive short-term wind power forecasting with concept drifts. Renewable Energy, 217, 119146.
MLA Li, Yanting,et al."Adaptive short-term wind power forecasting with concept drifts".Renewable Energy 217(2023):119146.
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Li, Yanting]'s Articles
[Wu, Zhenyu]'s Articles
[Su, Yan]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Li, Yanting]'s Articles
[Wu, Zhenyu]'s Articles
[Su, Yan]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Li, Yanting]'s Articles
[Wu, Zhenyu]'s Articles
[Su, Yan]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.