Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
A new hybrid model for power forecasting of a wind farm using spatial–temporal correlations | |
Songkang Wen1; Yanting Li1; Yan Su2 | |
2022-10 | |
Source Publication | Renewable Energy |
ISSN | 0960-1481 |
Volume | 198Pages:155-168 |
Abstract | This paper develops a new hybrid forecasting model for the hourly power output of multiple turbines (or plants), aimed at making use of both the spatial and temporal correlations of weather factors and power outputs from wind turbines (or plants). To account for the time-varying nature of local pattern and wind propagation, a new clustering algorithm named Kmeans–Hierarchical Clustering (KHC) is first used to adaptively cluster the wind turbines (or plants). Then, singular value decomposition (SVD) is employed to extract the leading components of the wind power of the wind turbines (or plants) in the same cluster. Finally, the support vector regression (SVR) models are built for the leading components and the predictions of the components are transformed into the predictions of the power output of each turbine (or plant) with the inverse SVD. The comparison results show that the proposed model is able to improve the forecast accuracy over the existing short-term forecasting models. |
Keyword | Local Pattern Wind Propagation Adaptively Clustering Support Vector Regression |
DOI | 10.1016/j.renene.2022.08.044 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels |
WOS Subject | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels |
WOS ID | WOS:000859001000006 |
Publisher | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD, THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85136245966 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Science and Technology DEPARTMENT OF ELECTROMECHANICAL ENGINEERING |
Corresponding Author | Yanting Li |
Affiliation | 1.Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China 2.Department of Electromechanical Engineering, University of Macau, Macao |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Songkang Wen,Yanting Li,Yan Su. A new hybrid model for power forecasting of a wind farm using spatial–temporal correlations[J]. Renewable Energy, 2022, 198, 155-168. |
APA | Songkang Wen., Yanting Li., & Yan Su (2022). A new hybrid model for power forecasting of a wind farm using spatial–temporal correlations. Renewable Energy, 198, 155-168. |
MLA | Songkang Wen,et al."A new hybrid model for power forecasting of a wind farm using spatial–temporal correlations".Renewable Energy 198(2022):155-168. |
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