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Selection of the daily PM10 forecasting model for an urban area in the northern region of Portugal with the Bayesian approach
Hoi, K. I.; Yuen, K. V.; Mok, K. M.; Miranda, A. I.; Lai, K. U.
2014-09-01
Source PublicationProceedings of the 2014 International Aerosol Conference
AbstractDaily forecast of PM10 is a priority in Portugal. Two forecasting approaches, deterministic and statistical, are commonly used. While deterministic model can provide forecasts for the entire country, the statistical one can provide point forecasts for any monitored area with less modeling requirements. A statistical model is regression of some specified input variables. However, the selection of these input variables is difficult for addressing issues of accuracy and over-fitting. This difficulty can be handled by applying the Bayesian approach to select the most suitable model from a pool of candidates.
KeywordBayesian Forecast PM10 Portugal
Language英語English
The Source to ArticlePB_Publication
PUB ID15572
Document TypeConference paper
CollectionHENRY FOK PEARL JUBILEE COLLEGE
Corresponding AuthorMok, K. M.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Hoi, K. I.,Yuen, K. V.,Mok, K. M.,et al. Selection of the daily PM10 forecasting model for an urban area in the northern region of Portugal with the Bayesian approach[C], 2014.
APA Hoi, K. I.., Yuen, K. V.., Mok, K. M.., Miranda, A. I.., & Lai, K. U. (2014). Selection of the daily PM10 forecasting model for an urban area in the northern region of Portugal with the Bayesian approach. Proceedings of the 2014 International Aerosol Conference.
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