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Transfer Learning for Financial Time Series Forecasting
He, Qi Qiao1; Pang, Patrick Cheong Iao2; Si, Yain Whar1
2019
Conference Name16th Pacific Rim International Conference on Artificial Intelligence (PRICAI)
Source PublicationLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume11671 LNAI
Pages24-36
Conference DateAUG 26-30, 2019
Conference PlaceCuvu, FIJI
Publication Place23 August 2019
PublisherSpringer
Abstract

Time-series are widely used for representing non-stationary data such as weather information, health related data, economic and stock market indexes. Many statistical methods and traditional machine learning techniques are commonly used for forecasting time series. With the development of deep learning in artificial intelligence, many researchers have adopted new models from artificial neural networks for forecasting time series. However, poor performance of applying deep learning models in short time series hinders the accuracy in time series forecasting. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to alleviate this problem based on transfer learning. Existing work on transfer learning uses extracted features from a source dataset for prediction task in a target dataset. In this paper, we propose a new training strategy for time-series transfer learning with two source datasets that outperform existing approaches. The effectiveness of our approach is evaluated on financial time series extracted from stock markets. Experiment results show that transfer learning based on 2 data sets is superior than other base-line methods.

KeywordArtificial Neural Networks Financial Time Series Forecasting Transfer Learning
DOI10.1007/978-3-030-29911-8_3
URLView the original
Indexed ByCPCI-S
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaComputer Science
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Computer Science, Theory & Methods
WOS IDWOS:000558157900003
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85072864543
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Citation statistics
Document TypeConference paper
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Corresponding AuthorSi, Yain Whar
Affiliation1.Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao
2.School of Computing and Information Systems, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
He, Qi Qiao,Pang, Patrick Cheong Iao,Si, Yain Whar. Transfer Learning for Financial Time Series Forecasting[C], 23 August 2019:Springer, 2019, 24-36.
APA He, Qi Qiao., Pang, Patrick Cheong Iao., & Si, Yain Whar (2019). Transfer Learning for Financial Time Series Forecasting. Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics), 11671 LNAI, 24-36.
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