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Real options under a double exponential jump-diffusion model with regime switching and partial information
Luo, Pengfei1; Xiong, Jie2; Yang, Jinqiang3; Yang, Zhaojun4
2019-06-03
Source PublicationQuantitative Finance
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN1469-7688
Volume19Issue:6Pages:1061-1073
Abstract

We consider the irreversible investment in a project which generates a cash flow following a double exponential jump-diffusion process and its expected return is governed by a continuous-time two-state Markov chain. If the expected return is observable, we present explicit expressions for the pricing and timing of the option to invest. With partial information, i.e. if the expected return is unobservable, we provide an explicit project value and an integral-differential equation for the pricing and timing of the option. We provide a method to measure the information value, i.e. the difference between the option values under the two different cases. We present numerical solutions by finite difference methods. By numerical analysis, we find that: (i) the higher the jump intensity, the later the option to invest is exercised, but its effect on the option value is ambiguous; (ii) the option value increases with the belief in a boom economy; (iii) if investors are more uncertain about the economic environment, information is more valuable; (iv) the more likely the transition from boom to recession, the lower the value of the option; (v) the bigger the dispersion of the expected return, the higher the information value; (vi) a higher cash flow volatility induces a lower information value.

KeywordDouble Exponential Jump-diffusion Process Information Value Partial Information Real Options
DOI10.1080/14697688.2017.1328560
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE ; SSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics ; Mathematics ; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance ; Economics ; Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods
WOS IDWOS:000467965400011
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85025428799
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionUniversity of Macau
Corresponding AuthorYang, Zhaojun
Affiliation1.School of Finance and Statistics, Hunan University, Changsha, China
2.Department of Mathematics, University of Macau, Macao
3.Shanghai Key Laboratory of Financial Information Technology, School of Finance, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, China
4.Department of Finance, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Luo, Pengfei,Xiong, Jie,Yang, Jinqiang,et al. Real options under a double exponential jump-diffusion model with regime switching and partial information[J]. Quantitative Finance, 2019, 19(6), 1061-1073.
APA Luo, Pengfei., Xiong, Jie., Yang, Jinqiang., & Yang, Zhaojun (2019). Real options under a double exponential jump-diffusion model with regime switching and partial information. Quantitative Finance, 19(6), 1061-1073.
MLA Luo, Pengfei,et al."Real options under a double exponential jump-diffusion model with regime switching and partial information".Quantitative Finance 19.6(2019):1061-1073.
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