Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Network Pricing with Investment Waiting Cost based on Real Options under Uncertainties | |
Yan, Xiaohe1; Gu, Chenghong2; Zhang, Hongcai3; Liu, Nian4; Li, Furong5; Song, Yonghua6 | |
2023-01 | |
Source Publication | IEEE Transactions on Power Systems |
ISSN | 0885-8950 |
Volume | 38Issue:1Pages:427-435 |
Abstract | Existing capacity-based network pricing uses discounted cash flows to calculate costs, unable to reflect the uncertainties and flexibilities in distribution networks. Such shortcoming could distort the cost-reflectivity of pricing signals, particularly those for renewables and flexible technologies, causing more constraints and curtailment issues in networks. This paper proposes a new pricing method, Incremental Cost Network Pricing based on Real Options (ICOC), which can reflect network user uncertainties on network investment by using real options. Under this concept, network operators can delay investment for a certain period by paying waiting cost based on options value until more information is available, thus avoiding non-reversible investment due to uncertainties. The options cost will be levied on network users as i) rewards if they can provide flexibilities to the system; or ii) waiting costs if they present uncertainties to the system. The reward or cost is determined by a binomial tree pricing under a risk-neutral condition, which is added onto asset present value as the total cost to be recovered. Such cost is allocated to network users based on their nodal incremental costs. The proposed method is demonstrated on a practical network with different users, i) uncertain, ii) flexible; iii) certain and nonflexible. The new ICOC pricing scheme can capture the impact of network user uncertainty on network investment and thus set cost-reflective price signals to influence their behaviours. |
Keyword | Costs Energy Storage Investment Load Flow Long-run Incremental Cost Network Charges Network Investment Pricing Real Options Resource Management Uncertainty Uncertainty |
DOI | 10.1109/TPWRS.2022.3158349 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Engineering |
WOS Subject | Engineering, Electrical & Electronic |
WOS ID | WOS:000922154400034 |
Publisher | IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC445 HOES LANE, PISCATAWAY, NJ 08855-4141 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85126332514 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU) Faculty of Science and Technology |
Affiliation | 1.Electrical and electric engineering, North China Electric Power University, 47840 Beijing, China, 102206 2.University of Bath, Bath, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, BA2 7AY 3.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau, 59193 Taipa, Macao 4.School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China, 102206 5.Department of Electronic & Electrical Eng, University of Bath, Claverton Down, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, BA2 7AY 6.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau, 59193 Taipa, Macau SAR, Macao |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Yan, Xiaohe,Gu, Chenghong,Zhang, Hongcai,et al. Network Pricing with Investment Waiting Cost based on Real Options under Uncertainties[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 2023, 38(1), 427-435. |
APA | Yan, Xiaohe., Gu, Chenghong., Zhang, Hongcai., Liu, Nian., Li, Furong., & Song, Yonghua (2023). Network Pricing with Investment Waiting Cost based on Real Options under Uncertainties. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 38(1), 427-435. |
MLA | Yan, Xiaohe,et al."Network Pricing with Investment Waiting Cost based on Real Options under Uncertainties".IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 38.1(2023):427-435. |
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