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Assessing the Nonlinear Effect of Atmospheric Variables on Primary and Oxygenated Organic Aerosol Concentration Using Machine Learning
Qin, Yiming1; Ye, Jianhuai1,2; Ohno, Paul1; Liu, Pengfei1,3; Wang, Junfeng1; Fu, Pingqing4; Zhou, Liyuan5; Li, Yong Jie6; Martin, Scot T.1; Chan, Chak K.5
2022-03-10
Source PublicationACS Earth and Space Chemistry
Volume6Issue:4Pages:1059-1066
Abstract

Organic aerosol (OA) accounts for a significant fraction of atmospheric particulate matter. The OA concentration in the atmosphere is of high variability and depends on factors such as emission, the atmospheric oxidation process, meteorology, and transport. Due to the complex interactions among the numerous factors, accurate estimation of the effects of target variables on OA concentration is often challenging. Herein, a random forest machine learning algorithm successfully predicted the concentrations of primary and oxygenated organic aerosol (POA and OOA) at urban and rural sites in Hong Kong. The random forest model explained more than 80% of the observed traffic-POA, cooking-POA, and OOA. In contrast, a multiple linear regression model only explained 30-50% of these OA concentrations. In the random forest model training process, NOwas also the most important variable for traffic-POA and cooking-POA. For OOA, multiple parameters were equally crucial in the model prediction, including NO, O, and relative humidity (RH). The dependence of OA concentrations on atmospheric conditions (e.g., various NOand Oconcentrations and meteorological conditions) was calculated via the partial dependence algorithm. The results suggested that the dependence of OA concentrations on atmospheric conditions was nonlinear and depended on different condition regimes. The partial dependence algorithm provides insights into the POA source and OOA formation mechanisms under a complex environment.

KeywordMachine Learning Organic Aerosol Nonlinear Effect Atmospheric Variables Partial Dependence
DOI10.1021/acsearthspacechem.1c00443
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaChemistry ; Geochemistry & Geophysics
WOS SubjectChemistry, Multidisciplinary ; Geochemistry & Geophysics
WOS IDWOS:000794564400020
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85126598054
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Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
Corresponding AuthorQin, Yiming; Chan, Chak K.
Affiliation1.School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts 02138, United States
2.School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology,, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518055, China
3.School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia, 30332, United States
4.Institute of Surface-Earth System Science, School of Earth System Science, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, China
5.School of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong 518057, China
6.Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, and Centre for Regional Oceans, Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau, Taipa, 999078, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Qin, Yiming,Ye, Jianhuai,Ohno, Paul,et al. Assessing the Nonlinear Effect of Atmospheric Variables on Primary and Oxygenated Organic Aerosol Concentration Using Machine Learning[J]. ACS Earth and Space Chemistry, 2022, 6(4), 1059-1066.
APA Qin, Yiming., Ye, Jianhuai., Ohno, Paul., Liu, Pengfei., Wang, Junfeng., Fu, Pingqing., Zhou, Liyuan., Li, Yong Jie., Martin, Scot T.., & Chan, Chak K. (2022). Assessing the Nonlinear Effect of Atmospheric Variables on Primary and Oxygenated Organic Aerosol Concentration Using Machine Learning. ACS Earth and Space Chemistry, 6(4), 1059-1066.
MLA Qin, Yiming,et al."Assessing the Nonlinear Effect of Atmospheric Variables on Primary and Oxygenated Organic Aerosol Concentration Using Machine Learning".ACS Earth and Space Chemistry 6.4(2022):1059-1066.
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