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Economic policy uncertainty and stock market activity: Evidence from China
Lei, Adrian C.H.; Song, Chen
2020-11-07
Source PublicationGlobal Finance Journal
ABS Journal Level2
ISSN1044-0283
Volume52Pages:100581
Abstract

The effects of various China economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices on Chinese listed firms' stock price behavior are examined in this study. We find that the mass media in China-based index is the best indicator of stock price crash risk for Chinese A- or B-share listings, but the index based on independent Chinese media is better for H-share listings. Chinese firms face a greater risk of stock price crashes during high EPU periods, but for B-share listings this relationship becomes negative after more media coverage is considered. We follow Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016) and construct an EPU measure for the Chinese economy based on a Chinese character search of newspapers. We compare our EPU index with the BBD index of Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016), which is based on an English-language Hong Kong news source. We find that the BBD index is a reasonable proxy for China's EPU but that it omits some useful information. We further demonstrate that our EPU index predicts China's economic trends more effectively than the BBD index, particularly when based on mass media in China.

KeywordEconomic Policy Uncertainty (Epu) Stock Price Crash China's Economic Trend
DOI10.1016/j.gfj.2020.100581
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance
WOS IDWOS:000804544700012
PublisherElsevier B.V.
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85096398169
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Citation statistics
Cited Times [WOS]:8   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Corresponding AuthorLei, Adrian C.H.
AffiliationDepartment of Finance and Business Economics, University of Macau, Macau, Avenida da Universidade, Taipa, China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Lei, Adrian C.H.,Song, Chen. Economic policy uncertainty and stock market activity: Evidence from China[J]. Global Finance Journal, 2020, 52, 100581.
APA Lei, Adrian C.H.., & Song, Chen (2020). Economic policy uncertainty and stock market activity: Evidence from China. Global Finance Journal, 52, 100581.
MLA Lei, Adrian C.H.,et al."Economic policy uncertainty and stock market activity: Evidence from China".Global Finance Journal 52(2020):100581.
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