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Business cycles of casino cities: Theoretical model, empirical evidence and policy implications
Sheng, Li1; Gu, Xinhua2; Guo, Haizhen3
2021-05-04
Source PublicationJournal of Urban Affairs
ISSN0735-2166
Abstract

Applying a Markov switching model (MSM) to Las Vegas and Macao, this paper decomposes their business cycles of the casino hospitality industry into high and low growth states (HGS, LGS). Compared with Las Vegas, casino gaming in Macao is more volatile due to larger ups and downs in tourism flows, with HGS being far higher and LGS being much lower. Gaming hospitality in both travel destinations has a strong tendency to stay in HGS, but a low chance of recovering from LGS. While the two cities’ hospitality cycles are desirably asymmetric, Las Vegas’s cycle seems more favorable than Macao’s. Furthermore, in this paper, MSM is incorporated into a structural regression to identify determinants of hospitality cycles and generate policy implications useful for decision-making. It is observed that local hospitality cycles are affected by external business cycles and other demand- or supply-side factors. It is necessary for Las Vegas to strengthen promotional marketing and for Macao to pursue industrial diversification.

KeywordMarkov Switching Model Structural Regression Business Cycle Hospitality Cycle Casino Gaming Las Vegas Macao
DOI10.1080/07352166.2021.1898285
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaUrban Studies
WOS SubjectUrban Studies
WOS IDWOS:000647114600001
PublisherROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD2-4 PARK SQUARE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON OX14 4RN, OXON, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85105320013
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Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
Faculty of Social Sciences
Corresponding AuthorSheng, Li
Affiliation1.Univ Macau, Fac Social Sci, Macau, Peoples R China
2.Univ Macau, Fac Business Adm, Macau, Peoples R China
3.Guangdong Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Trade, Guangzhou, Peoples R China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Sheng, Li,Gu, Xinhua,Guo, Haizhen. Business cycles of casino cities: Theoretical model, empirical evidence and policy implications[J]. Journal of Urban Affairs, 2021.
APA Sheng, Li., Gu, Xinhua., & Guo, Haizhen (2021). Business cycles of casino cities: Theoretical model, empirical evidence and policy implications. Journal of Urban Affairs.
MLA Sheng, Li,et al."Business cycles of casino cities: Theoretical model, empirical evidence and policy implications".Journal of Urban Affairs (2021).
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