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The impact of disclosure quality on analyst forecasts in China
Hu, Shaorou; Liu, Ming; Sohn, Byungcherl Charlie; Yuen, Desmond C.Y.
2021-08-06
Source PublicationAccounting Forum
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN0155-9982
Volume45Issue:4Pages:411-434
Abstract

Since the establishment of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) Disclosure Ranking System in 2001, the disclosure quality of listed companies has increased in China. As a result, analysts can access more timely, valuable, and reliable information to understand companies’ overall operating status, financial reports, and accrual components of earnings. As analysts can save time and costs when they have access to high-quality information provided by firms, their earnings forecast error and optimism bias are reduced, and analysts’ divergence of opinion on firm prospects decreases. Using a sample of 419 A-share firms listed on the Main Board of the SZSE over the 2001–2018 period, we investigate whether disclosure quality affects analysts’ forecasting behaviour in China’s securities market using SZSE disclosure ranking data, and find that high disclosure quality improves analyst forecast accuracy and reduces forecast optimism and forecast dispersion. We also find that disclosure quality is associated with an increase in a firm’s stock price synchronicity with the market and a decrease in industry-wide and firm-specific information, and that a good disclosure ranking can enhance the credibility of firm-specific information and therefore its usefulness to financial analysts in the emerging market of China.

KeywordDisclosure Quality Forecast Accuracy Information Disclosure Ranking System Mandatory Disclosure Synchronicity Voluntary Disclosure
DOI10.1080/01559982.2021.1936394
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance
WOS IDWOS:000682387700001
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85112616566
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT
Corresponding AuthorLiu, Ming
AffiliationFaculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Macao
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Corresponding Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Hu, Shaorou,Liu, Ming,Sohn, Byungcherl Charlie,et al. The impact of disclosure quality on analyst forecasts in China[J]. Accounting Forum, 2021, 45(4), 411-434.
APA Hu, Shaorou., Liu, Ming., Sohn, Byungcherl Charlie., & Yuen, Desmond C.Y. (2021). The impact of disclosure quality on analyst forecasts in China. Accounting Forum, 45(4), 411-434.
MLA Hu, Shaorou,et al."The impact of disclosure quality on analyst forecasts in China".Accounting Forum 45.4(2021):411-434.
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