Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Day-ahead Power Forecasting Model for a Photovoltaic Plant in Macao Based on Weather Classification Using SVM/PCC/LM-ANN | |
Zhipeng Zhou1![]() ![]() ![]() | |
2021-12-23 | |
Conference Name | 2021 IEEE Sustainable Power and Energy Conference (iSPEC) |
Source Publication | Proceedings - 2021 IEEE Sustainable Power and Energy Conference: Energy Transition for Carbon Neutrality, iSPEC 2021
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Pages | 775-780 |
Conference Date | 23-25 December 2021 |
Conference Place | Nanjing, China |
Country | China |
Publisher | IEEE |
Abstract | With the growing demand for clean energy, the world's installed solar energy capacity has increased substantially in the last few years. But the power output of photovoltaic (PV) panels varies greatly under different weather conditions. To improve PV power stations' prediction accuracy, this paper designs a forecasting system that uses artificial neural networks (ANNs) optimized by Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm based on weather classification for 1-day ahead hourly forecasting. In this process, first, the weather is divided into three types: A - sunny, B - cloudy and C - rainy by using support vector machine (SVM) method. Then, the correlation between meteorological factors and PV power output is analyzed through Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) method in order to select the forecasting model's input. Finally, the corresponding LM-ANN forecasting sub-models are established under each weather type. After applying the trained three sub-models to a small PV power plant in Macao, the results prove that the proposed forecasting system achieves better prediction effect than traditional backpropagation ANN model. |
Keyword | Artificial Neural Networks (Anns) Levenberg-marquardt Algorithm Photovoltaic Weather Classification |
DOI | 10.1109/iSPEC53008.2021.9735777 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | EI |
Language | 英語English |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85128050050 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Conference paper |
Collection | THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU) DEPARTMENT OF ELECTRICAL AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING |
Affiliation | 1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering University of Macau Macao, China 2.University of Macau and Zhuhai UM Science & Technology Research Institute Macao and Zhuhai, China |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Zhipeng Zhou,Li Liu,Ning Yi Dai. Day-ahead Power Forecasting Model for a Photovoltaic Plant in Macao Based on Weather Classification Using SVM/PCC/LM-ANN[C]:IEEE, 2021, 775-780. |
APA | Zhipeng Zhou., Li Liu., & Ning Yi Dai (2021). Day-ahead Power Forecasting Model for a Photovoltaic Plant in Macao Based on Weather Classification Using SVM/PCC/LM-ANN. Proceedings - 2021 IEEE Sustainable Power and Energy Conference: Energy Transition for Carbon Neutrality, iSPEC 2021, 775-780. |
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