Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Stock price prediction based on error correction model and Granger causality test | |
Ning, Yang; Wah, Liu Chun; Erdan, Luo | |
2019-03-01 | |
Source Publication | Cluster Computing |
ISSN | 1386-7857 |
Volume | 22Pages:4849-4858 |
Abstract | The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between macroeconomic variables (interest rate, money supply, exchange rate, inflation rate) and overall market return in Hong Kong and Shanghai. The relationship is test by using APT, VECM and Granger-Causility test. Pre-tests of unit root and cointegration are the way to process monthly data in this paper. Results: There do exist an relationship between the selected macroeconomic variables and stock market return in Hong Kong and Shanghai in the long and short period. This paper implies that the investors who are interested in Chinese stock market should be prepared to invest for the long-term. But in Hong Kong stock market, the investors not only focus on the long-term but also focus on the short-term. |
Keyword | Cointegration Test Granger-causality Macroeconomic Variables Stock Market Return Unit Root Test |
DOI | 10.1007/s10586-018-2406-6 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE ; SSCI |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Computer Science |
WOS Subject | Computer Science, Information Systems ; Computer Science, Theory & Methods |
WOS ID | WOS:000492605300234 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85044040238 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | University of Macau |
Affiliation | University of Macau, Taipa, 999078, China |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Ning, Yang,Wah, Liu Chun,Erdan, Luo. Stock price prediction based on error correction model and Granger causality test[J]. Cluster Computing, 2019, 22, 4849-4858. |
APA | Ning, Yang., Wah, Liu Chun., & Erdan, Luo (2019). Stock price prediction based on error correction model and Granger causality test. Cluster Computing, 22, 4849-4858. |
MLA | Ning, Yang,et al."Stock price prediction based on error correction model and Granger causality test".Cluster Computing 22(2019):4849-4858. |
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