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The Impact of Disclosure Quality on Analyst Forecasts in China
HU, S.; Liu, M.; Byung, C. S.; Yuen, C. Y.
2021-08-01
Source PublicationAccounting Forum
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN01559982, 14676303
Abstract

Since the establishment of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) Disclosure Ranking System in 2001, the disclosure quality of listed companies has increased in China. As a result, analysts can access more timely, valuable, and reliable information to understand companies’ overall operating status, financial reports, and accrual components of earnings. As analysts can save time and costs when they have access to high-quality information provided by firms, their earnings forecast error and optimism bias are reduced, and analysts’ divergence of opinion on firm prospects decreases. Using a sample of 419 A-share firms listed on the Main Board of the SZSE over the 2001–2018 period, we investigate whether disclosure quality affects analysts’ forecasting behaviour in China’s securities market using SZSE disclosure ranking data, and find that high disclosure quality improves analyst forecast accuracy and reduces forecast optimism and forecast dispersion. We also find that disclosure quality is associated with an increase in a firm’s stock price synchronicity with the market and a decrease in industry-wide and firm-specific information, and that a good disclosure ranking can enhance the credibility of firm-specific information and therefore its usefulness to financial analysts in the emerging market of China.

KeywordDisclosure Quality Forecast Accuracy Mandatory Disclosure Voluntary Disclosure Information Disclosure Ranking System Synchronicity
Language英語English
The Source to ArticlePB_Publication
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionUniversity of Macau
Corresponding AuthorLiu, M.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
HU, S.,Liu, M.,Byung, C. S.,et al. The Impact of Disclosure Quality on Analyst Forecasts in China[J]. Accounting Forum, 2021.
APA HU, S.., Liu, M.., Byung, C. S.., & Yuen, C. Y. (2021). The Impact of Disclosure Quality on Analyst Forecasts in China. Accounting Forum.
MLA HU, S.,et al."The Impact of Disclosure Quality on Analyst Forecasts in China".Accounting Forum (2021).
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