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Detection of stationary markovian zones in a geologically heterogeneous area
Xiao-Hui Qi; Wan-Huan Zhou; Ka-Veng Yuen
2017
Source PublicationASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
ISSN2376-7642
Volume3Issue:4
Abstract

The stationary Markov process model is widely used to predict the geological conditions in tunnel excavation projects. However, the validity of the stationary assumption made in the model is questionable. The prediction error caused by the assumption has not been investigated in previous studies. In this study, the significance of a stationary Markovian zone detection is evaluated by comparing the predicted geological conditions with the real soil layer distributions in boreholes. A new method is proposed to detect the stationary Markovian zones in a tunnel-covered area. Borehole data from Perth, Australia are collected to illustrate the significance of the stationary Markovian zone detection and the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that the stationary assumption leads to considerable errors in the predicted number, location, and thickness of soil layers. The proposed method is robust with respect to the starting point of a detection.

KeywordGeological Uncertainty Coupled Markov Chain Nonstationarity Tunnel
DOI10.1061/AJRUA6.0000930
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering
WOS SubjectEngineering, Civil
WOS IDWOS:000423145500021
PublisherASCE-AMER SOC CIVIL ENGINEERS, 1801 ALEXANDER BELL DR, RESTON, VA 20191-4400
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85045339133
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
Corresponding AuthorKa-Veng Yuen
AffiliationDept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Science and Technology, Univ. of Macau, Macau 999078, China
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Science and Technology
Corresponding Author AffilicationFaculty of Science and Technology
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Xiao-Hui Qi,Wan-Huan Zhou,Ka-Veng Yuen. Detection of stationary markovian zones in a geologically heterogeneous area[J]. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 2017, 3(4).
APA Xiao-Hui Qi., Wan-Huan Zhou., & Ka-Veng Yuen (2017). Detection of stationary markovian zones in a geologically heterogeneous area. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 3(4).
MLA Xiao-Hui Qi,et al."Detection of stationary markovian zones in a geologically heterogeneous area".ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering 3.4(2017).
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