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Fusion convolutional neural network-based interpretation of unobserved heterogeneous factors in driver injury severity outcomes in single-vehicle crashes
Yu, Hao1; Li, Zhenning2; Zhang, Guohui3; Liu, Pan1; Ma, Tianwei3
2021-02-01
Source PublicationAnalytic Methods in Accident Research
ISSN2213-6657
Volume30Pages:100157
Abstract

In this study, a fusion convolutional neural network with random term (FCNN-R) model is proposed for driver injury severity analysis. The proposed model consists of a set of sub-neural networks (sub-NNs) and a multi-layer convolutional neural network (CNN). More specifically, the sub-NN structure is designed to deal with categorical variables in crash records; multi-layer CNN structure captures the potential nonlinear relationship between impact factors and driver injury severity outcomes. Seven-year (2010–2016) single-vehicle crash data is applied. Models with different CNN layers are tested using the validation set, as well as various model layouts with and without a dropout layer or regularization term in the objective function. It is found that different model layouts provide consistent predictive performance. With the limited training data, more CNN layers result in the prematurity of the training procedure. The dropout layer and the regularization technique help improve the stability of the effects of different variables. The proposed model outperformed other five typical approaches in the predictability comparison. Moreover, a marginal effect analysis was conducted to the proposed FCNN-R model, the FCNN model and the mixed multinomial logit model. It shows that the proposed FCNN-R model can be used to uncover the underlying correlations similar to the traditional statistical models. Additionally, the temporal stability of the proposed FCNN-R approach is discussed based on the model performance in different years. Future research is recommended to include more information for improving the universality of the proposed approach.

KeywordDeep Neural Network Driver Injury Severity Heterogeneity Model Interpretation
DOI10.1016/j.amar.2021.100157
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaPublic, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Transportation
WOS SubjectPublic, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Transportation
WOS IDWOS:000640497700002
PublisherELSEVIE, RRADARWEG 29, 1043 NX AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85100660546
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorZhang, Guohui
Affiliation1.School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing, 210096, China
2.Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macao, China
3.Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, 96822, United States
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yu, Hao,Li, Zhenning,Zhang, Guohui,et al. Fusion convolutional neural network-based interpretation of unobserved heterogeneous factors in driver injury severity outcomes in single-vehicle crashes[J]. Analytic Methods in Accident Research, 2021, 30, 100157.
APA Yu, Hao., Li, Zhenning., Zhang, Guohui., Liu, Pan., & Ma, Tianwei (2021). Fusion convolutional neural network-based interpretation of unobserved heterogeneous factors in driver injury severity outcomes in single-vehicle crashes. Analytic Methods in Accident Research, 30, 100157.
MLA Yu, Hao,et al."Fusion convolutional neural network-based interpretation of unobserved heterogeneous factors in driver injury severity outcomes in single-vehicle crashes".Analytic Methods in Accident Research 30(2021):100157.
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