Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Are crises sentimental? | |
Tao Chen1; Erin P.K. So2; Isabel K.M. Yan3 | |
2021-03 | |
Source Publication | International Journal of Finance and Economics |
ABS Journal Level | 3 |
ISSN | 1076-9307 |
Volume | 26Issue:1Pages:962-985 |
Abstract | This paper examines the role of investor sentiment in signalling the onset of equity crises in a panel of over 50 countries. We find that although poor economic fundamentals are significant determinants of the vulnerability of countries, a shift from bullish to bearish investor sentiment acts as the final trigger. Bearish investor sentiment in regional and local markets exhibits significant predictive power for the outbreak of equity crises in the subsequent one to eight quarters, beyond that forecasted by pure economic fundamentals. The results remain broadly unchanged even after we orthogonalize the sentiment indices to information about economic fundamentals. |
Keyword | Crisis Prediction Financial Crises Market Sentiment |
DOI | 10.1002/ijfe.1830 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SSCI |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Business & Economics |
WOS Subject | Business, Finance |
WOS ID | WOS:000552710600001 |
Publisher | WILEY111 RIVER ST, HOBOKEN 07030-5774, NJ |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85088596117 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Business Administration DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS |
Corresponding Author | Tao Chen |
Affiliation | 1.Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao 2.Department of Economics, Hong Kong Baptist University, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong 3.Department of Economics and Finance, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong |
First Author Affilication | Faculty of Business Administration |
Corresponding Author Affilication | Faculty of Business Administration |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Tao Chen,Erin P.K. So,Isabel K.M. Yan. Are crises sentimental?[J]. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2021, 26(1), 962-985. |
APA | Tao Chen., Erin P.K. So., & Isabel K.M. Yan (2021). Are crises sentimental?. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 26(1), 962-985. |
MLA | Tao Chen,et al."Are crises sentimental?".International Journal of Finance and Economics 26.1(2021):962-985. |
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