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Are crises sentimental?
Tao Chen1; Erin P.K. So2; Isabel K.M. Yan3
2021-03
Source PublicationInternational Journal of Finance and Economics
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN1076-9307
Volume26Issue:1Pages:962-985
Abstract

This paper examines the role of investor sentiment in signalling the onset of equity crises in a panel of over 50 countries. We find that although poor economic fundamentals are significant determinants of the vulnerability of countries, a shift from bullish to bearish investor sentiment acts as the final trigger. Bearish investor sentiment in regional and local markets exhibits significant predictive power for the outbreak of equity crises in the subsequent one to eight quarters, beyond that forecasted by pure economic fundamentals. The results remain broadly unchanged even after we orthogonalize the sentiment indices to information about economic fundamentals.

KeywordCrisis Prediction Financial Crises Market Sentiment
DOI10.1002/ijfe.1830
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance
WOS IDWOS:000552710600001
PublisherWILEY111 RIVER ST, HOBOKEN 07030-5774, NJ
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85088596117
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Corresponding AuthorTao Chen
Affiliation1.Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao
2.Department of Economics, Hong Kong Baptist University, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong
3.Department of Economics and Finance, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon Tong, Hong Kong
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Corresponding Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Tao Chen,Erin P.K. So,Isabel K.M. Yan. Are crises sentimental?[J]. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2021, 26(1), 962-985.
APA Tao Chen., Erin P.K. So., & Isabel K.M. Yan (2021). Are crises sentimental?. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 26(1), 962-985.
MLA Tao Chen,et al."Are crises sentimental?".International Journal of Finance and Economics 26.1(2021):962-985.
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