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Multi-source transfer learning with ensemble for financial time series forecasting
Qi-Qiao He1; Patrick Cheong-Iao Pang2; Yain-Whar Si1
2020-12
Conference Name2020 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Joint Conference on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology, WI-IAT 2020
Source PublicationProceedings - 2020 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Joint Conference on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology, WI-IAT 2020
Pages227-233
Conference Date14-17 December 2020
Conference PlaceMelbourne, Australia
CountryAustralia
PublisherIEEE
Abstract

Although transfer learning is proven to be effective in computer vision and natural language processing applications, it is rarely investigated in forecasting financial time series. Majority of existing works on transfer learning are based on single-source transfer learning due to the availability of openaccess large-scale datasets. However, in financial domain, the lengths of individual time series are relatively short and singlesource transfer learning models are less effective. Therefore, in this paper, we investigate multi-source deep transfer learning for financial time series. We propose two multi-source transfer learning methods namely Weighted Average Ensemble for Transfer Learning (WAETL) and Tree-structured Parzen Estimator Ensemble Selection (TPEES). The effectiveness of our approach is evaluated on financial time series extracted from stock markets. Experiment results reveal that TPEES outperforms other baseline methods on majority of multi-source transfer tasks.

KeywordArtificial Neural Networks Financial Time Series Forecasting Multi-source Transfer Learning
DOI10.1109/WIIAT50758.2020.00034
URLView the original
Indexed ByCPCI-S
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaComputer Science
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Computer Science, Information Systems
WOS IDWOS:000689592300029
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85114421082
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Document TypeConference paper
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Affiliation1.Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, Macau, China
2.Victoria University Business School, Victoria University, Melbourne, Australia
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Qi-Qiao He,Patrick Cheong-Iao Pang,Yain-Whar Si. Multi-source transfer learning with ensemble for financial time series forecasting[C]:IEEE, 2020, 227-233.
APA Qi-Qiao He., Patrick Cheong-Iao Pang., & Yain-Whar Si (2020). Multi-source transfer learning with ensemble for financial time series forecasting. Proceedings - 2020 IEEE/WIC/ACM International Joint Conference on Web Intelligence and Intelligent Agent Technology, WI-IAT 2020, 227-233.
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