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Global impacts of China–US trade tensions
Tam, Pui Sun
2019-12-22
Source PublicationJournal of International Trade and Economic Development
ABS Journal Level1
ISSN0963-8199
Volume29Issue:5Pages:510-545
Abstract

This paper studies the economic impacts of China–US trade tensions. A global value chains-augmented global vector autoregressive trade model that gauges the spatial and temporal dynamics of international transmission of economy-specific trade policy shock across economies is employed. Trade tensions are found to have both real and financial effects on individual economies. Results lend support to the thesis that international trade is a positive-sum game in the world trading system characterized by global value chains. The US restrictive trade policy is counter-productive to the US economy by worsening its trade imbalances. Redirection of investment from China may be limited given the contemporary world economy characterized by global value chain production networks. Economies from different regional economic groups and with different trade balance positions are heterogeneously affected. As a whole, trade protectionism is detrimental to the economic well-being of the world economy by shrinking international trade, reducing output, curbing investment and plummeting stock prices.

KeywordChina–us Relation Global Imbalances Global Value Chains Global Vector Autoregression Trade Tensions
DOI10.1080/09638199.2019.1703028
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectEconomics
WOS IDWOS:000503904200001
PublisherRoutledge
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85077018962
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
Corresponding AuthorTam, Pui Sun
AffiliationDepartment of Finance and Business Economics, Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Corresponding Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Tam, Pui Sun. Global impacts of China–US trade tensions[J]. Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 2019, 29(5), 510-545.
APA Tam, Pui Sun.(2019). Global impacts of China–US trade tensions. Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 29(5), 510-545.
MLA Tam, Pui Sun."Global impacts of China–US trade tensions".Journal of International Trade and Economic Development 29.5(2019):510-545.
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