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Net emission reductions from electric cars and heat pumps in 59 world regions over time
Knobloch, Florian1,2; Hanssen, Steef V.1; Lam, Aileen2,3; Pollitt, Hector2,4; Salas, Pablo2,5; Chewpreecha, Unnada4; Huijbregts, Mark A.J.1; Mercure, Jean Francois1,2,4,6
2020-03-23
Source PublicationNature Sustainability
ISSN2398-9629
Volume3Issue:6Pages:437-447
Abstract

The electrification of passenger road transport and household heating features prominently in current and planned policy frameworks to achieve greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets. However, since electricity generation involves using fossil fuels, it is not established where and when the replacement of fossil-fuel-based technologies by electric cars and heat pumps can effectively reduce overall emissions. Could electrification policies backfire by promoting their diffusion before electricity is decarbonized? Here we analyse current and future emissions trade-offs in 59 world regions with heterogeneous households, by combining forward-looking integrated assessment model simulations with bottom-up life-cycle assessments. We show that already under current carbon intensities of electricity generation, electric cars and heat pumps are less emission intensive than fossil-fuel-based alternatives in 53 world regions, representing 95% of the global transport and heating demand. Even if future end-use electrification is not matched by rapid power-sector decarbonization, it will probably reduce emissions in almost all world regions.

DOI10.1038/s41893-020-0488-7
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE ; SSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectGreen & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies 19.346
WOS IDWOS:000521528300003
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85083366870
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Citation statistics
Cited Times [WOS]:209   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
Corresponding AuthorKnobloch, Florian
Affiliation1.Department of Environmental Science, Faculty of Science, Radboud University, Nijmegen, Netherlands
2.Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance (C-EENRG), University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
3.Department of Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Macao, Taipa, Macao
4.Cambridge Econometrics Ltd, Cambridge, United Kingdom
5.University of Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership, Cambridge, United Kingdom
6.Department of Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Knobloch, Florian,Hanssen, Steef V.,Lam, Aileen,et al. Net emission reductions from electric cars and heat pumps in 59 world regions over time[J]. Nature Sustainability, 2020, 3(6), 437-447.
APA Knobloch, Florian., Hanssen, Steef V.., Lam, Aileen., Pollitt, Hector., Salas, Pablo., Chewpreecha, Unnada., Huijbregts, Mark A.J.., & Mercure, Jean Francois (2020). Net emission reductions from electric cars and heat pumps in 59 world regions over time. Nature Sustainability, 3(6), 437-447.
MLA Knobloch, Florian,et al."Net emission reductions from electric cars and heat pumps in 59 world regions over time".Nature Sustainability 3.6(2020):437-447.
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