Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Regime shift, speculation, and stock price | |
Du, Ke1; Fu, Yishu2; Qin, Zhenjiang3; Zhang, Shuoxun4 | |
2020-01-24 | |
Source Publication | Research in International Business and Finance |
ABS Journal Level | 2 |
ISSN | 0275-5319 |
Volume | 52Pages:101181 |
Abstract | We investigate the impacts of speculation on stock price and return volatility in a framework with regime shifting. We find that greater difference in beliefs about the probability of bad state leads to higher stock prices. The intuition is that in periods of higher dispersion of beliefs, the investors perceive greater speculative opportunities, leading to increased demands and valuations of the stock. When investors agree with each other on the state of dividend growth, they have a stronger incentive to invest in the riskless bond, when becoming more pessimistic about the dividend growth. As a result, the demand and the valuations of stock decrease. Moreover, higher level of heterogeneity in beliefs gives rise to higher volatility of the stock returns, even in the absence of dividend shocks. Furthermore, with homogeneous beliefs, return volatility with respect to investors’ beliefs follows an inverted-U shape. |
Keyword | Equilibrium Heterogeneous Beliefs Regime Shifting Return Volatility Stock Price |
DOI | 10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101181 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SSCI |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Business & Economics |
WOS Subject | Business, Finance |
WOS ID | WOS:000522397200035 |
Publisher | ELSEVIER |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85078771305 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Business Administration DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS |
Corresponding Author | Zhang, Shuoxun |
Affiliation | 1.Institute of Financial Studies, Southwestern University of Finance & Economics, China 2.Institute of Chinese Financial Studies, Southwestern University of Finance & Economics, China 3.Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, China 4.Department of Finance, School of Economics & Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics, Xiamen University, China |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Du, Ke,Fu, Yishu,Qin, Zhenjiang,et al. Regime shift, speculation, and stock price[J]. Research in International Business and Finance, 2020, 52, 101181. |
APA | Du, Ke., Fu, Yishu., Qin, Zhenjiang., & Zhang, Shuoxun (2020). Regime shift, speculation, and stock price. Research in International Business and Finance, 52, 101181. |
MLA | Du, Ke,et al."Regime shift, speculation, and stock price".Research in International Business and Finance 52(2020):101181. |
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