Residential Collegefalse
Status已發表Published
Point and interval forecasting of solar irradiance with an active Gaussian process
Huang, Chao1,2,3; Zhao, Zhenyu2; Wang, Long2; Zhang, Zijun3; Luo, Xiong2
2020-03-03
Source PublicationIET Renewable Power Generation
ISSN1752-1416
Volume14Issue:6Pages:1020-1030
Abstract

A Gaussian process regression (GPR) with active learning is proposed for developing the solar irradiance point andinterval forecasting models, which consider the spatial-temporal information collected from a targeted site and a number ofneighbouring sites. To enhance the performance of the GPR-based model an active learning process is developed forconstructing an ad-hoc input feature set, selecting training data points, and optimising hyper-parameters of GPR models. Tovalidate the advantages of the proposed method, a comprehensive computational study is conducted based on solar irradiancedata collected from the northwest California area. In the point forecasting, the proposed method beats the state-of-the-artbenchmarking methods including classical statistical models and data-driven models according to values of the normalised rootmean squared error, normalised mean absolute error, normalised mean bias error, and coefficient of determination. In theinterval forecasting, the proposed method outperforms the persistence model, autoregressive model with exogenous inputs,generic GPR, as well as two recently reported forecasting methods, the bootstrap-based extreme learning machine and quantileregression, in terms of the forecasting reliability. Computational results show that the proposed method is more effective thanwell-known existing benchmarks in the point and interval forecasting of the solar irradiance.

DOI10.1049/iet-rpg.2019.0769
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
WOS SubjectGreen & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic
WOS IDWOS:000528757000008
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85083976483
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionTHE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorZhang, Zijun
Affiliation1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau, Macao
2.School of Computer and Communication Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing (USTB), Beijing, 100083, China
3.School of Data Science, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong S.A.R., Hong Kong
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Huang, Chao,Zhao, Zhenyu,Wang, Long,et al. Point and interval forecasting of solar irradiance with an active Gaussian process[J]. IET Renewable Power Generation, 2020, 14(6), 1020-1030.
APA Huang, Chao., Zhao, Zhenyu., Wang, Long., Zhang, Zijun., & Luo, Xiong (2020). Point and interval forecasting of solar irradiance with an active Gaussian process. IET Renewable Power Generation, 14(6), 1020-1030.
MLA Huang, Chao,et al."Point and interval forecasting of solar irradiance with an active Gaussian process".IET Renewable Power Generation 14.6(2020):1020-1030.
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Huang, Chao]'s Articles
[Zhao, Zhenyu]'s Articles
[Wang, Long]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Huang, Chao]'s Articles
[Zhao, Zhenyu]'s Articles
[Wang, Long]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Huang, Chao]'s Articles
[Zhao, Zhenyu]'s Articles
[Wang, Long]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.