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Multi-Graph Convolutional Network for Relationship-Driven Stock Movement Prediction
Jiexia Ye1,2; Juanjuan Zhao1,2; Kejiang Ye1,2; Chengzhong Xu3
2021-05
Conference Name25th International Conference on Pattern Recognition, ICPR 2020
Source PublicationProceedings - International Conference on Pattern Recognition
Pages6702 - 6709
Conference Date10-15 Jan. 2021
Conference PlaceMilan
CountryItaly
Publication PlaceIEEE COMPUTER SOC, 10662 LOS VAQUEROS CIRCLE, PO BOX 3014, LOS ALAMITOS, CA 90720-1264 USA
PublisherIEEE
Abstract

Stock price movement prediction is commonly accepted as a very challenging task due to the volatile nature of financial markets. Previous works typically predict the stock price mainly based on its own information, neglecting the cross effect among involved stocks. However, it is well known that an individual stock price is correlated with prices of other stocks in complex ways. To take the cross effect into consideration, we propose a deep learning framework, called Multi-GCGRU, which comprises graph convolutional network (GCN) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) to predict stock movement. Specifically, we first encode multiple relationships among stocks into graphs based on financial domain knowledge and utilize GCN to extract the cross effect based on these pre-defined graphs. To further get rid of prior knowledge, we explore an adaptive relationship learned by data automatically. The cross-correlation features produced by GCN are concatenated with historical records and then fed into GRU to model the temporal dependency of stock prices. Experiments on two stock indexes in China market show that our model outperforms other baselines. Note that our model is rather feasible to incorporate more effective stock relationships containing expert knowledge, as well as learn datadriven relationship.

KeywordGcn Graph Convolutional Network Gru Relationship Stock Movement Stock Price
DOI10.1109/ICPR48806.2021.9412695
Indexed ByCPCI-S
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaComputer Science ; Engineering ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
WOS IDWOS:000678409206110
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85110410744
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Document TypeConference paper
CollectionTHE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Faculty of Science and Technology
Corresponding AuthorJuanjuan Zhao
Affiliation1.Shenzhen Institutes of Advanced Technology Chinese Academy of Sciences Shenzhen, China
2.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing, China
3.State Key Lab of IOTSC, Department of Computer Science University of Macau Macau SAR, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Jiexia Ye,Juanjuan Zhao,Kejiang Ye,et al. Multi-Graph Convolutional Network for Relationship-Driven Stock Movement Prediction[C], IEEE COMPUTER SOC, 10662 LOS VAQUEROS CIRCLE, PO BOX 3014, LOS ALAMITOS, CA 90720-1264 USA:IEEE, 2021, 6702 - 6709.
APA Jiexia Ye., Juanjuan Zhao., Kejiang Ye., & Chengzhong Xu (2021). Multi-Graph Convolutional Network for Relationship-Driven Stock Movement Prediction. Proceedings - International Conference on Pattern Recognition, 6702 - 6709.
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