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A novel probabilistic method for robust parametric identification and outlier detection
Ka-Veng Yuen; He-Qing Mu
2012-06-15
Source PublicationProbabilistic Engineering Mechanics
ISSN1878-4275
Volume30Pages:48-59
Abstract

Outliers are one of the main concerns in statistics. Parametric identification results of ordinary least squares are sensitive to outliers. Many robust estimators have been proposed to overcome this problem but there are still some drawbacks in existing methods. In this paper, a novel probabilistic method is proposed for robust parametric identification and outlier detection in linear regression problems. The crux of this method is to calculate the probability of outlier, which quantifies how probable it is that a data point is an outlier. There are several appealing features of the proposed method. First, not only the optimal values of the parameters and residuals but also the associated uncertainties are taken into account for outlier detection. Second, the size of the dataset is incorporated because it is one of the key variables to determine the probability of obtaining a large-residual data point. Third, the proposed method requires no information on the outlier distribution model. Fourth, the proposed approach provides the probability of outlier. In the illustrative examples, the proposed method is compared with three well-known methods. It turns out that the proposed method is substantially superior and it is capable of robust parametric identification and outlier detection even for very challenging situations. 

DOI10.1016/j.probengmech.2012.06.002
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Mechanics ; Mathematics
WOS SubjectEngineering, Mechanical ; Mechanics ; Statistics & Probability
WOS IDWOS:000308842200006
PublisherELSEVIER SCI LTD, THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, OXON, ENGLAND
The Source to ArticleScopus
Scopus ID2-s2.0-84862742028
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
Faculty of Science and Technology
Corresponding AuthorKa-Veng Yuen
AffiliationFaculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau, Macao, China
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Science and Technology
Corresponding Author AffilicationFaculty of Science and Technology
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Ka-Veng Yuen,He-Qing Mu. A novel probabilistic method for robust parametric identification and outlier detection[J]. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, 2012, 30, 48-59.
APA Ka-Veng Yuen., & He-Qing Mu (2012). A novel probabilistic method for robust parametric identification and outlier detection. Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics, 30, 48-59.
MLA Ka-Veng Yuen,et al."A novel probabilistic method for robust parametric identification and outlier detection".Probabilistic Engineering Mechanics 30(2012):48-59.
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