Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Prediction for Decision Support During the COVID-19 Pandemic | |
Joao Alexandre Lobo Marques1; Francisco Nauber Bernardo Gois2; José Xavier-Neto3; Simon James Fong4 | |
2021 | |
Source Publication | Predictive Models for Decision Support in the COVID-19 Crisis |
Author of Source | Joao Alexandre Lobo Marques, Francisco Nauber Bernardo Gois, José Xavier-Neto, Simon James Fong |
Publication Place | Cham |
Publisher | Springer |
Pages | 1-13 |
Abstract | The task known as prediction is widely applied in several different areas of knowledge, from popular applications such as weather forecasting, going through supply chain management, an increasing range of adoption in healthcare and, more specifically in epidemiology, the central topic of this book. The new challenges brought with the COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the possibilities and necessity of using prediction techniques to support decisions related to epidemiology in both managerial and clinical areas. In practice, the current outbreak created a strong need for the adoption of different computational models to support both medical teams and public health administrators. The methods vary from simple linear regressions to very complex algorithms based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques. The present chapter contextualizes the use of prediction for decision support as a foundation of the following chapters which are focused on the application for the COVID-19 pandemic time series. With such a large number of methods for data-driven predictions, a clear distinction between explanation and prediction is firstly provided. From there, a methodological framework is presented, from the data source definition and selection of countries as references for the analysis, going through data handling for validation, until the definition of the evaluation criteria for the proposed models. |
DOI | 10.1007/978-3-030-61913-8_1 |
URL | View the original |
Language | 英語English |
ISBN | 978-3-030-61913-8 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85097192187 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Book chapter |
Collection | DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE |
Corresponding Author | Joao Alexandre Lobo Marques |
Affiliation | 1.Laboratory of Neuroapplications,University of Saint Joseph,Macao 2.Machine Learning Department,Secretary of Health of the Government of the State of Ceara,Fortaleza,Brazil 3.Government Intelligence Cell,Secretary of Health of the Government of the State of Ceara,Fortaleza,Brazil 4.Department of Computer and Information Science,University of Macau,Macao |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Joao Alexandre Lobo Marques,Francisco Nauber Bernardo Gois,José Xavier-Neto,et al. Prediction for Decision Support During the COVID-19 Pandemic[M]. Predictive Models for Decision Support in the COVID-19 Crisis, Cham:Springer, 2021, 1-13. |
APA | Joao Alexandre Lobo Marques., Francisco Nauber Bernardo Gois., José Xavier-Neto., & Simon James Fong (2021). Prediction for Decision Support During the COVID-19 Pandemic. Predictive Models for Decision Support in the COVID-19 Crisis, 1-13. |
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