Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
A Hybrid Slantlet Denoising Least Squares Support vector Regression Model for Exchange Rate Prediction | |
Kai jian He1; Kin Keung Lai2; Jerome Yen3 | |
2010 | |
Conference Name | International Conference on Computational Science (ICCS) |
Source Publication | ICCS 2010 - INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE, PROCEEDINGS |
Pages | 2397-2405 |
Conference Date | MAY 31-JUN 02, 2010 |
Conference Place | Univ Amsterdam, Amsterdam, NETHERLANDS |
Abstract | Despite the active exploration of linear and nonlinear modeling of exchange rates, there is no consensus on the optimal forecasting model other than the traditional random walk and ARMA benchmark models in the literature. Given the increasing recognition of heterogeneous market structure, this paper proposes an alternative Slantlet denoising based hybrid methodology that attempts to incorporate the linear and nonlinear data features. The recently emerging Slantlet analysis is introduced to separate the linear data features as it constructs filters with varying lengths at different scales and has more appealing time localization features than the normal wavelet analysis. Meanwhile, the Least Squares Support Vector Regression (LSSVR) is used to model and correct for the empirical errors nonlinear in nature. As empirical studies were conducted in the Euro exchange rate market, the performance of the proposed algorithm was compared with those of benchmark models including random walk, ARMA and LSSVR models. The proposed algorithm outperforms the benchmark models. More importantly the proposed methodology explores and offers deeper insights as to the underlying data generating process. |
Keyword | Least Squares Support Vector Regression Model Slantlet Analysis Denoising Algorithm Arma Model Random Walk Model |
DOI | 10.1016/j.procs.2010.04.270 |
Indexed By | CPCI-S |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Computer Science |
WOS Subject | Computer Science, Theory & Methods |
WOS ID | WOS:000281951600269 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-78650261217 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Conference paper |
Collection | Faculty of Business Administration Faculty of Science and Technology INSTITUTE OF COLLABORATIVE INNOVATION |
Affiliation | 1.Department of Management Sciences, City University of Hong Kong, Tat Chee Avenue, Kowloon, Hong Kong 2.School of Business Administration, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China 3.Department of Finance and Economics, Tung Wah College, Wylie Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Kai jian He,Kin Keung Lai,Jerome Yen. A Hybrid Slantlet Denoising Least Squares Support vector Regression Model for Exchange Rate Prediction[C], 2010, 2397-2405. |
APA | Kai jian He., Kin Keung Lai., & Jerome Yen (2010). A Hybrid Slantlet Denoising Least Squares Support vector Regression Model for Exchange Rate Prediction. ICCS 2010 - INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE, PROCEEDINGS, 2397-2405. |
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