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A Hybrid Slantlet Denoising Least Squares Support vector Regression Model for Exchange Rate Prediction
Kai jian He1; Kin Keung Lai2; Jerome Yen3
2010
Conference NameInternational Conference on Computational Science (ICCS)
Source PublicationICCS 2010 - INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE, PROCEEDINGS
Pages2397-2405
Conference DateMAY 31-JUN 02, 2010
Conference PlaceUniv Amsterdam, Amsterdam, NETHERLANDS
Abstract

Despite the active exploration of linear and nonlinear modeling of exchange rates, there is no consensus on the optimal forecasting model other than the traditional random walk and ARMA benchmark models in the literature. Given the increasing recognition of heterogeneous market structure, this paper proposes an alternative Slantlet denoising based hybrid methodology that attempts to incorporate the linear and nonlinear data features. The recently emerging Slantlet analysis is introduced to separate the linear data features as it constructs filters with varying lengths at different scales and has more appealing time localization features than the normal wavelet analysis. Meanwhile, the Least Squares Support Vector Regression (LSSVR) is used to model and correct for the empirical errors nonlinear in nature. As empirical studies were conducted in the Euro exchange rate market, the performance of the proposed algorithm was compared with those of benchmark models including random walk, ARMA and LSSVR models. The proposed algorithm outperforms the benchmark models. More importantly the proposed methodology explores and offers deeper insights as to the underlying data generating process.

KeywordLeast Squares Support Vector Regression Model Slantlet Analysis Denoising Algorithm Arma Model Random Walk Model
DOI10.1016/j.procs.2010.04.270
Indexed ByCPCI-S
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaComputer Science
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Theory & Methods
WOS IDWOS:000281951600269
Scopus ID2-s2.0-78650261217
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Document TypeConference paper
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
Faculty of Science and Technology
INSTITUTE OF COLLABORATIVE INNOVATION
Affiliation1.Department of Management Sciences, City University of Hong Kong, Tat Chee Avenue, Kowloon, Hong Kong
2.School of Business Administration, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
3.Department of Finance and Economics, Tung Wah College, Wylie Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Kai jian He,Kin Keung Lai,Jerome Yen. A Hybrid Slantlet Denoising Least Squares Support vector Regression Model for Exchange Rate Prediction[C], 2010, 2397-2405.
APA Kai jian He., Kin Keung Lai., & Jerome Yen (2010). A Hybrid Slantlet Denoising Least Squares Support vector Regression Model for Exchange Rate Prediction. ICCS 2010 - INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE, PROCEEDINGS, 2397-2405.
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