Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Modeling VaR in Crude Oil Market: A Multi Scale Nonlinear Ensemble Approach Incorporating Wavelet Analysis and ANN | |
Kin Keung Lai1,2; Kaijian He1,2; Jerome Yen3 | |
2007 | |
Source Publication | LECTURE NOTES IN COMPUTER SCIENCE |
ISSN | 0302-9743 |
Volume | 4487Pages:554-561 |
Abstract | Price fluctuations in the crude oil markets worldwide have attracted significant attentions from both, industries and academics, due to their profound impact on businesses and governments. Proper measurement and management of risks due to unexpected price movements in the markets has been crucial from both, operational and strategic perspectives. However, risk measurements from current approaches offer insufficient explanatory power and performance due to the complicated non-linear nature of risk evolutions. This paper adopts a VaR approach to measure risks and proposes multi-scale non-linear ensemble approaches to model the risk evolutions in WTI crude oil market. The proposed WDNEVaR follows a semi-parametric paradigm, incorporating both, wavelet analysis and artificial neural network techniques. Experiment results from empirical studies suggest that the proposed WDNEVaR is superior to traditional approaches. It provides VaR estimates of higher reliability and accuracy. It also brings significantly more flexibility during the modeling attempts. |
Keyword | Artificial Neural Network Nonlinear Ensemble Algorithm Value At Risk Wavelet Analysis |
DOI | 10.1007/978-3-540-72584-8_73 |
Indexed By | CPCI-S |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Computer Science |
WOS Subject | Computer Science, Theory & Methods |
WOS ID | WOS:000247062800073 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-37249034819 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Business Administration Faculty of Science and Technology INSTITUTE OF COLLABORATIVE INNOVATION |
Corresponding Author | Kin Keung Lai |
Affiliation | 1.Department of Management Sciences, City University of Hong Kong, Tat Chee Avenue, Hong Kong 2.School of Business Administration, Hunan University, Changsha, Hunan, 410082, China 3.Department of Finance, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Kin Keung Lai,Kaijian He,Jerome Yen. Modeling VaR in Crude Oil Market: A Multi Scale Nonlinear Ensemble Approach Incorporating Wavelet Analysis and ANN[J]. LECTURE NOTES IN COMPUTER SCIENCE, 2007, 4487, 554-561. |
APA | Kin Keung Lai., Kaijian He., & Jerome Yen (2007). Modeling VaR in Crude Oil Market: A Multi Scale Nonlinear Ensemble Approach Incorporating Wavelet Analysis and ANN. LECTURE NOTES IN COMPUTER SCIENCE, 4487, 554-561. |
MLA | Kin Keung Lai,et al."Modeling VaR in Crude Oil Market: A Multi Scale Nonlinear Ensemble Approach Incorporating Wavelet Analysis and ANN".LECTURE NOTES IN COMPUTER SCIENCE 4487(2007):554-561. |
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