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Crude Oil Price Prediction using slantlet Denosing Based Hybrid Models
Kaijian He1; Kin Keung Lai1; Jerome Yen2
2009
Conference Name2009 International Joint Conference on Computational Sciences and Optimization
Source PublicationProceedings of the International Conference on Computational Sciences and Optimization
Conference Date24-26 April 2009
Conference PlaceSanya, Hainan, China
Abstract

The accurate prediction of crude oil price movement has always been the central issue with profound implications across different levels of the economy. This study conducts empirical investigations into the characteristics of crude oil market and proposes a novel Slantlet denoising based hybrid methodology for the prediction of its movement. The proposed algorithm models the underlying data characteristics in a more refined manner, integrating linear models such as ARMA and nonlinear models such as support vector regression. Empirical studies confirm the superiority of the proposed Slantlet based hybrid models against benchmark alternatives. The performance improvement is attributed to the finer separation of complicated factors influencing the crude oil behaviors into linear and nonlinear components in the multi scale domain, which improves the goodness of fit and reduces the overfitting issue.

DOI10.1109/CSO.2009.449
Language英語English
WOS IDWOS:000273549700003
Scopus ID2-s2.0-70449347604
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Document TypeConference paper
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
Faculty of Science and Technology
DEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT
Affiliation1.Department of Management Sciences, City University of Hong Kong Tat Chee Avenue, Kowloon, Hong Kong
2.Department of Finance, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Kaijian He,Kin Keung Lai,Jerome Yen. Crude Oil Price Prediction using slantlet Denosing Based Hybrid Models[C], 2009.
APA Kaijian He., Kin Keung Lai., & Jerome Yen (2009). Crude Oil Price Prediction using slantlet Denosing Based Hybrid Models. Proceedings of the International Conference on Computational Sciences and Optimization.
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