Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Theoretical Model of Stock Trading Behavior with Biases | |
Liu Ke1; Kin Keung Lai1; Yen Jerome2 | |
2010 | |
Conference Name | World Congress on Engineering, World Congress on Engineering |
Source Publication | Proceedings of the World Congress on Engineering, World Congress on Engineering |
Pages | 384-389 |
Conference Date | 30 June - 2 July 2010 |
Conference Place | Imperial Coll London, London, UNITED KINGDOM |
Abstract | Stock investors are not fully rational during their trading, and many behavioral biases affect their trading behavior, such as representative bias and disposition effect. However, most of the literature on behavioral finance cast efforts on explaining empirical phenomena observed in financial markets, but little on how individual investors' trading performance is affected by their behavioral biases. As against the common perception that behavioral biases are always detrimental to investment performance, we conjecture that these biases can sometimes yield better trading outcomes for investors. Focusing on representative bias and disposition effect, we construct a mathematical model in which the representative investor follows a Bayesian trading strategy based on an underlying Markov chain, switching between Trending regime and Mean-reversion regime. By this model, we are able to undertake scenario analysis to track investor behavior and performance along the time, under different patterns of market movements. Results validate our conjecture by showing that the effect of behavioral biases can sometimes be positive on investor performance. |
Keyword | Representative Bias Trading Behavior Bayesian Investor Disposition Effect |
Indexed By | SSCI |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Computer Science ; Engineering |
WOS Subject | Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Computer Science, Information Systems ; Computer Science, Theory & Methods ; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic |
WOS ID | WOS:000394059800068 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-79959819157 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Conference paper |
Collection | Faculty of Business Administration Faculty of Science and Technology DEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT |
Affiliation | 1.City University of Hong Kong 2.Tung Wah College, Hong Kong |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Liu Ke,Kin Keung Lai,Yen Jerome. Theoretical Model of Stock Trading Behavior with Biases[C], 2010, 384-389. |
APA | Liu Ke., Kin Keung Lai., & Yen Jerome (2010). Theoretical Model of Stock Trading Behavior with Biases. Proceedings of the World Congress on Engineering, World Congress on Engineering, 384-389. |
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