Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
New evidence on the relation between return volatility and trading volume | |
Thomas C. Chiang1; Zhuo Qiao2; Wing-Keung Wong3 | |
2010-07-15 | |
Source Publication | Journal of Forecasting |
ABS Journal Level | 2 |
ISSN | 1099-131X |
Issue | 29Pages:502–515 |
Abstract | In the empirical literature, it has been shown that there exists both linear and non-linear bi-directional causality between trading volumes and return volatility (measured by the square of daily return). We re-examine this claim by using realized volatility as an estimator of the unobserved volatility, adopting a stationary de-trended trading volume, and applying a more recent data sample with robustness tests over time. Our linear Granger causality test shows that there is no causal linear relation running from volume to volatility, but there exists an ambiguous causality for the reverse direction. In contrast, we fi nd strong bi-directional non-linear Granger causality between these two variables. On the basis of the non-linear forecasting modeling technique, this study provides strong evidence to support the sequential information hypothesis and demonstrates that it is useful to use lagged values of trading volume to predict return volatility. |
Keyword | Return Volatility High Frequency Data Trading Volume Non-linear Granger Causality |
DOI | 10.1002/for.1151 |
Indexed By | SSCI |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Business & Economics |
WOS Subject | Economics ; Management |
WOS ID | WOS:000280445400006 |
Publisher | WILEY-BLACKWELL, 111 RIVER ST, HOBOKEN 07030-5774, NJ USA |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-77954919955 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Business Administration DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS |
Corresponding Author | Thomas C. Chiang |
Affiliation | 1.Department of Finance, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA, USA 2.Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Macau 3.Department of Economics, Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Thomas C. Chiang,Zhuo Qiao,Wing-Keung Wong. New evidence on the relation between return volatility and trading volume[J]. Journal of Forecasting, 2010(29), 502–515. |
APA | Thomas C. Chiang., Zhuo Qiao., & Wing-Keung Wong (2010). New evidence on the relation between return volatility and trading volume. Journal of Forecasting(29), 502–515. |
MLA | Thomas C. Chiang,et al."New evidence on the relation between return volatility and trading volume".Journal of Forecasting .29(2010):502–515. |
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