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Construction and Sale Decisions of Real Estate Developers Under Heterogeneous Beliefs
Xu, Nicole1; LAI, Rose Neng2
2016-08-22
Conference Name2016 Annual Conference of Global Chinese Real Estate Congress
Source PublicationProceedings of 2016 Annual Conference of Global Chinese Real Estate Congress
Conference Date2016-01
Conference PlaceHangzhou, China
Abstract

We develop a theoretical model that studies the effects of construction and sale decisions as a result of real estate developers' heterogeneous beliefs on demand uncertainty. Our model shows that optimistic developers construct more houses when facing higher uncertainty, while pessimistic developers construct less. Furthermore, small housing quality differentiation leads to lower pricing power of developers. Entrance of new developers into the market does not necessarily yield higher total supply. This paper provides additional insights to puzzling phenomena in real estate markets such as overbuilding, inventory holding.

KeywordUncertainty Heterogeneous Beliefs Real Estate Developer Optimism
DOI10.2139/ssrn.2874650
Language英語English
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Document TypeConference paper
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Affiliation1.The People's Bank of China (PBC)
2.University of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Xu, Nicole,LAI, Rose Neng. Construction and Sale Decisions of Real Estate Developers Under Heterogeneous Beliefs[C], 2016.
APA Xu, Nicole., & LAI, Rose Neng (2016). Construction and Sale Decisions of Real Estate Developers Under Heterogeneous Beliefs. Proceedings of 2016 Annual Conference of Global Chinese Real Estate Congress.
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