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Forecasting the REITs and stock indices: Group method of data handling neural network approach
Rita Yi Man Li1; Simon Fong2; Kyle Weng Sang Chong2
2016-09-28
Source PublicationPacific Rim Property Research Journal
ISSN1444-5921
Volume23Issue:2Pages:123-160
Abstract

If there is long-term memory in property stocks and REITs prices, historical data is relevant for future prices prediction. Despite previous research adopted various different methods to forecast future asset prices by using historical data; we attempted to forecast the REITs and stock indices by Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH) neural network method with Hurst which is the first of its kind. Our results showed that GMDH neural network performed better than the classical forecasting algorithms such as Single Exponential Smooth, Double Exponential Smooth, ARIMA and back-propagation neural network. The research results also provide useful information for investors when they make investment decisions.

KeywordForecast Group Method Of Data Handling Neural Network Reits Stocks
DOI10.1080/14445921.2016.1225149
URLView the original
Indexed ByESCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectBusiness
WOS IDWOS:000404370100001
PublisherROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, 2-4 PARK SQUARE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON OX14 4RN, OXON, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85022217873
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Affiliation1.Sustainable Real Estate Research Center, Hong Kong Shue Yan University, Hong Kong, China
2.Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, Macau, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Rita Yi Man Li,Simon Fong,Kyle Weng Sang Chong. Forecasting the REITs and stock indices: Group method of data handling neural network approach[J]. Pacific Rim Property Research Journal, 2016, 23(2), 123-160.
APA Rita Yi Man Li., Simon Fong., & Kyle Weng Sang Chong (2016). Forecasting the REITs and stock indices: Group method of data handling neural network approach. Pacific Rim Property Research Journal, 23(2), 123-160.
MLA Rita Yi Man Li,et al."Forecasting the REITs and stock indices: Group method of data handling neural network approach".Pacific Rim Property Research Journal 23.2(2016):123-160.
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