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Robust load feature extraction based secondary VMD novel short-term load demand forecasting framework
Zhang, Miao1; Xiao, Guowei1; Lu, Jianhang1; Liu, Yixuan1; Chen, Haotian1; Yang, Ningrui2
2025-02-01
Source PublicationElectric Power Systems Research
ISSN0378-7796
Volume239Pages:111198
Abstract

Load forecasting, as a crucial component of the electricity market, plays a significant role in ensuring the secure operation and rational planning of the power grid. However, as the power system becomes increasingly intricate, the demands on load forecasting techniques have escalated. Consequently, to mitigate the errors in short-term load forecasting (STLF) caused by uncertainty factors and to accommodate daily forecasting under abnormal electricity load conditions, this paper proposes a hybrid load forecasting model that combines an improved Secondary Variational Mode Decomposition (SVMD) algorithm with the Informer model. Employing electricity load data from the Panama context, the data is divided into four distinct experimental cases. The outcomes manifest that in contrast to the baseline model, the proposed approach engenders a minimal reduction of 15.08%, 12.95%, and 13.21% in Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), respectively. Furthermore, supplementary experimental results demonstrate that the model exhibits strong robustness.

KeywordAbnormal Daily Load Forecasting Informer Secondary Variational Mode Decomposition Short-term Load Forecasting
DOI10.1016/j.epsr.2024.111198
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering
WOS SubjectEngineering, Electrical & Electronic
WOS IDWOS:001354760400001
PublisherELSEVIER SCIENCE SAPO BOX 564, 1001 LAUSANNE, SWITZERLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85208183082
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionTHE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorYang, Ningrui
Affiliation1.Faculty of Automation, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510006, China
2.The State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau, 999078, Macao
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Miao,Xiao, Guowei,Lu, Jianhang,et al. Robust load feature extraction based secondary VMD novel short-term load demand forecasting framework[J]. Electric Power Systems Research, 2025, 239, 111198.
APA Zhang, Miao., Xiao, Guowei., Lu, Jianhang., Liu, Yixuan., Chen, Haotian., & Yang, Ningrui (2025). Robust load feature extraction based secondary VMD novel short-term load demand forecasting framework. Electric Power Systems Research, 239, 111198.
MLA Zhang, Miao,et al."Robust load feature extraction based secondary VMD novel short-term load demand forecasting framework".Electric Power Systems Research 239(2025):111198.
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