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DEMO: A Dynamics-Enhanced Learning Model for multi-horizon trajectory prediction in autonomous vehicles
Wang, Chengyue1,2; Liao, Haicheng1,3; Zhu, Kaiqun1,3; Zhang, Guohui4; Li, Zhenning1,2,3
2025-06-01
Source PublicationInformation Fusion
ISSN1566-2535
Volume118Pages:102924
Abstract

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) rely on accurate trajectory prediction of surrounding vehicles to ensure the safety of both passengers and other road users. Trajectory prediction spans both short-term and long-term horizons, each requiring distinct considerations: short-term predictions rely on accurately capturing the vehicle's dynamics, while long-term predictions rely on accurately modeling the interaction patterns within the environment. However current approaches, either physics-based or learning-based models, always ignore these distinct considerations, making them struggle to find the optimal prediction for both short-term and long-term horizon. In this paper, we introduce the Dynamics-Enhanced Learning MOdel (DEMO), a novel approach that combines a physics-based Vehicle Dynamics Model with advanced deep learning algorithms. DEMO employs a two-stage architecture, featuring a Dynamics Learning Stage and an Interaction Learning Stage, where the former stage focuses on capturing vehicle motion dynamics and the latter focuses on modeling interaction. By capitalizing on the respective strengths of both methods, DEMO facilitates multi-horizon predictions for future trajectories. Experimental results on the Next Generation Simulation (NGSIM), Macau Connected Autonomous Driving (MoCAD), Highway Drone (HighD), and nuScenes datasets demonstrate that DEMO outperforms state-of-the-art (SOTA) baselines in both short-term and long-term prediction horizons.

KeywordAutonomous Driving Trajectory Prediction Dynamics-based Model Learning-based Model Data Fusion
DOI10.1016/j.inffus.2024.102924
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaComputer Science
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Artificial intelligence;Computer Science, Theory & Methods
WOS IDWOS:001398831300001
PublisherELSEVIER, RADARWEG 29, 1043 NX AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85214567375
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Corresponding AuthorLi, Zhenning
Affiliation1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau, Macau SAR, China
2.Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macau SAR, China
3.Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, Macau SAR, China
4.Department of Civil, Environmental and Construction Engineering, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Hawaii, Honolulu, United States
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Wang, Chengyue,Liao, Haicheng,Zhu, Kaiqun,et al. DEMO: A Dynamics-Enhanced Learning Model for multi-horizon trajectory prediction in autonomous vehicles[J]. Information Fusion, 2025, 118, 102924.
APA Wang, Chengyue., Liao, Haicheng., Zhu, Kaiqun., Zhang, Guohui., & Li, Zhenning (2025). DEMO: A Dynamics-Enhanced Learning Model for multi-horizon trajectory prediction in autonomous vehicles. Information Fusion, 118, 102924.
MLA Wang, Chengyue,et al."DEMO: A Dynamics-Enhanced Learning Model for multi-horizon trajectory prediction in autonomous vehicles".Information Fusion 118(2025):102924.
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