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Energy Consumption Probabilistic Prediction of HVAC Systems in Public Buildings Based on Deep Learning Fusion Model
Jiang, Siyu; Hui, Hongxun
2024
Conference Name2024 IEEE International Conference on Communications, Control, and Computing Technologies for Smart Grids (SmartGridComm)
Source Publication2024 IEEE International Conference on Communications, Control, and Computing Technologies for Smart Grids, SmartGridComm 2024
Pages71-76
Conference Date17-20 September 2024
Conference PlaceOslo, Norway
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Abstract

The energy consumption prediction of heating ventilating and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems in public buildings is essential for promoting energy efficiency. However, HVAC energy consumption often fluctuates significantly due to weather variations and occupancy uncertainties within public buildings. To address this issue, this paper introduces a probabilistic prediction model based on the deep learning fusion model to quantify the energy consumption ranges with specific confidence intervals. First, the impact of temporal and environmental characteristics on HVAC energy consumption are analyzed to select relevant features. Second, we combine Long Short-Term Memory with Conformalized Quantile Regression model to obtain prediction intervals of energy consumption. Finally, to improve the model's generalization performance, an ensemble learning method is introduced to adapt varying time-series lengths through homogeneous model enhancements. Based on realistic data from an office building in the University of Macau, case studies validate the superior accuracy and generalization of the proposed model.

KeywordConformalized Quantile Regression Ensemble Learning Hvac Energy Consumption Long Short-term Memory Probabilistic Prediction
DOI10.1109/SmartGridComm60555.2024.10738104
URLView the original
Language英語English
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85210816840
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Citation statistics
Document TypeConference paper
CollectionTHE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorHui, Hongxun
AffiliationState Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau, Macao
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Jiang, Siyu,Hui, Hongxun. Energy Consumption Probabilistic Prediction of HVAC Systems in Public Buildings Based on Deep Learning Fusion Model[C]:Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2024, 71-76.
APA Jiang, Siyu., & Hui, Hongxun (2024). Energy Consumption Probabilistic Prediction of HVAC Systems in Public Buildings Based on Deep Learning Fusion Model. 2024 IEEE International Conference on Communications, Control, and Computing Technologies for Smart Grids, SmartGridComm 2024, 71-76.
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