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Long-Term Clinical and Economic Effects of Switching to Once-Weekly Semaglutide from Other GLP-1 RAs Among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes in China: A Modeling Projection Study
Hu, Ying1; Chen, Xianwen2; Zou, Huimin2; Zhang, Hao3; Ni, Qi1; Li, Yijun1; Ung, Carolina Oi Lam2,4,5; Hu, Hao2,4,5; Mu, Yiming1
2024-12-21
Source PublicationAdvances in Therapy
ISSN0741-238X
Abstract

Introduction: Previous studies, using clinical trial data, demonstrated that once-weekly (OW) semaglutide is dominant versus other glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) in China. This study aims to evaluate the long-term clinical and economic effects of switching to OW semaglutide from other GLP-1 RAs among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in China. Methods: The Institute of Health Economics Diabetes Cohort Model (IHE-DCM) was used to project life expectancy, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and total direct medical cost over 40 years from a Chinese healthcare system perspective. Baseline characteristics, clinical effectiveness, and the treatment dose of OW semaglutide were derived from previously real-world studies. Patients were assumed to switch to semaglutide or continue previous GLP-1 RAs for 3 years and change to intensive therapy. Drug prices were based on the median bidding price in January 2024 in China. Costs of other GLP-1 RAs were calculated on the basis of their market share in China. All costs were accounted as 2023 Chinese yuan (CNY). A discount of 5% was applied. One-way sensitivity analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were used to test the robustness of the base-case result. Results: The results show that switching to OW semaglutide from other GLP-1 RAs among patients with T2DM in China can improve life expectancy by 0.02 years and afford an additional 0.12 QALYs per patient. Meanwhile, switching to OW semaglutide is associated with decreased total lifetime direct medical costs of 4204 CNY per patient, mainly resulting from savings in microvascular costs (2214 CNY) and macrovascular costs (1228 CNY). Sensitivity analyses show the robustness of modeling projection findings. Conclusion: Based on real-world data from China, this modeling projection study demonstrates that switching to OW semaglutide from other GLP-1 RAs can have better clinical and economic effects for patients with T2DM in China, indicating it as a dominant treatment choice.

KeywordChina Modeling Semaglutide Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus
DOI10.1007/s12325-024-03082-7
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaResearch & Experimental Medicine ; Pharmacology & Pharmacy
WOS SubjectMedicine, Research & Experimental ; Pharmacology & Pharmacy
WOS IDWOS:001378348200001
PublisherSPRINGER, ONE NEW YORK PLAZA, SUITE 4600 , NEW YORK, NY 10004, UNITED STATES
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85212272731
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Health Sciences
Institute of Chinese Medical Sciences
DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC HEALTH AND MEDICINAL ADMINISTRATION
Corresponding AuthorHu, Hao; Mu, Yiming
Affiliation1.Department of Endocrinology, The First Medical Center, Chinese People’s Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing, 28 Fu Xing Road, Haidian District, China
2.State Key Laboratory of Quality Research in Chinese Medicine, Institute of Chinese Medical Sciences, University of Macau, Room 1050, E12 Research Building, SAR, Macao
3.Novo Nordisk (China) Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd, Beijing, China
4.Centre for Pharmaceutical Regulatory Sciences, University of Macau, Macao
5.Department of Public Health and Medicinal Administration, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Macau, Macao
Corresponding Author AffilicationInstitute of Chinese Medical Sciences;  University of Macau;  Faculty of Health Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Hu, Ying,Chen, Xianwen,Zou, Huimin,et al. Long-Term Clinical and Economic Effects of Switching to Once-Weekly Semaglutide from Other GLP-1 RAs Among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes in China: A Modeling Projection Study[J]. Advances in Therapy, 2024.
APA Hu, Ying., Chen, Xianwen., Zou, Huimin., Zhang, Hao., Ni, Qi., Li, Yijun., Ung, Carolina Oi Lam., Hu, Hao., & Mu, Yiming (2024). Long-Term Clinical and Economic Effects of Switching to Once-Weekly Semaglutide from Other GLP-1 RAs Among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes in China: A Modeling Projection Study. Advances in Therapy.
MLA Hu, Ying,et al."Long-Term Clinical and Economic Effects of Switching to Once-Weekly Semaglutide from Other GLP-1 RAs Among Patients with Type 2 Diabetes in China: A Modeling Projection Study".Advances in Therapy (2024).
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