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Local powers of least-squares-based test for panel fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process
Tanaka, Katsuto1; Xiao, Weilin2; Yu, Jun3
2024-09
Source PublicationJournal of Time Series Analysis
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN0143-9782
Abstract

In recent years, significant advancements have been made in the field of identifying financial asset price bubbles, particu-larly through the development of time-series unit-root tests featuring fractionally integrated errors and panel unit-root tests.This study introduces an innovative approach for assessing the sign of the persistence parameter (𝛼) within a panel fractionalOrnstein-Uhlenbeck process, based on the least squares estimator of 𝛼. This method incorporates three distinct test statisticsbased on the Hurst parameter (H), which can take values in the range of (1/2, 1), be equal to 1/2, or fall within the interval of(0, 1/2). The null hypothesis corresponds to 𝛼 = 0. Based on a panel of continuous records of observations, the null asymptoticdistributions are obtained when the time span (T) is fixed and the number of cross sections (N) goes to infinity. The power func-tion of the tests is obtained under the local alternative where 𝛼 is close to zero in the order of 1/(T√N). This alternative coversthe departure from the unit root hypothesis from the explosive side, enabling the calculation of lower power in bubble tests. Thehypothesis testing problem and the local power function are also considered when a panel of discrete-sampled observations isavailable under a sequential limit, that is, the sampling interval shrinks to zero followed by the N goes to infinity. 

KeywordPanel Fractional Ornstein–uhlenbeck Process Least Squares Asymptotic Distribution Local Alternative Local Power
DOI10.1111/jtsa.12777
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaMathematics
WOS SubjectMathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Statistics & Probability
WOS IDWOS:001314832300001
PublisherWILEY, 111 RIVER ST, HOBOKEN 07030-5774, NJ
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85204380542
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Faculty of Business Administration
Corresponding AuthorYu, Jun
Affiliation1.Faculty of Economics, Gakushuin University, Tokyo, Japan
2.School of Management, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
3.Department of Finance and Business Economics, Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Macao
Corresponding Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Tanaka, Katsuto,Xiao, Weilin,Yu, Jun. Local powers of least-squares-based test for panel fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process[J]. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2024.
APA Tanaka, Katsuto., Xiao, Weilin., & Yu, Jun (2024). Local powers of least-squares-based test for panel fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process. Journal of Time Series Analysis.
MLA Tanaka, Katsuto,et al."Local powers of least-squares-based test for panel fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process".Journal of Time Series Analysis (2024).
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