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Tide level prediction during typhoons based on variable topology in graph convolution recurrent neural networks
Shi, Xianwu1,2,3; Chen, Peng4; Ye, Zuchao5; Zhang, Xinlong6; Wang, Weiping7,8
2024-11-15
Source PublicationOcean Engineering
ISSN0029-8018
Volume312Pages:119228
Abstract

Accurate tide level prediction is crucial for storm surge prevention and mitigation. In this study, we propose a regional multi-station tide-level prediction model (RMSTL) based on a graph convolution recurrent network that utilizes spatial and temporal information from historical tide levels and meteorological data to predict tide levels at multiple stations. Six stations in Changjiang Estuary, China, were selected for this case study. We explored the change in the accuracy of forecasting the tide-level during typhoons under a distinct topology of the tidal station network and the weights of the stations. The results showed that: (1) the prediction accuracy of RMSTL model behaved better than that of the other three widely used models; (2) the RMSTL model can be made more accurate by adding the weights of the edges or the number of edges of the topology; the value of RMSE decreased from 0.369 to 0.278, and the value of MAE decreased from 0.260 to 0.189; (3) when the dataset was limited, increasing the weights of the edges had a slightly better effect than increasing the weights of the edges in terms of improving the accuracy of the prediction results. The proposed method opens new avenues for forecasting storm surges.

KeywordGraph Convolutional Recurrent Network Network Topology Regional Multi-station Forecast Tide Level Prediction
DOI10.1016/j.oceaneng.2024.119228
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Oceanography
WOS SubjectEngineering, Marine ; Engineering, Civil ; Engineering, Ocean ; Oceanography
WOS IDWOS:001316783000001
PublisherPERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTDTHE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85203664702
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorWang, Weiping
Affiliation1.Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disasters of Chinese Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China
2.Key Laboratory of Marine Space Resource Management Technology, Ministry of Natural Resources, Hangzhou, 310012, China
3.Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China
4.College of Harbour, Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210024, China
5.Beihai Marine Environmental Monitoring Center Station, State Oceanic Administration of China, Beihai, 53606, China
6.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macao
7.Joint International Research Laboratory of Catastrophe Simulation and Systemic Risk Governance, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, 519087, China
8.School of National Safety and Emergency Management, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, 519807, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Shi, Xianwu,Chen, Peng,Ye, Zuchao,et al. Tide level prediction during typhoons based on variable topology in graph convolution recurrent neural networks[J]. Ocean Engineering, 2024, 312, 119228.
APA Shi, Xianwu., Chen, Peng., Ye, Zuchao., Zhang, Xinlong., & Wang, Weiping (2024). Tide level prediction during typhoons based on variable topology in graph convolution recurrent neural networks. Ocean Engineering, 312, 119228.
MLA Shi, Xianwu,et al."Tide level prediction during typhoons based on variable topology in graph convolution recurrent neural networks".Ocean Engineering 312(2024):119228.
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