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Monarchical Succession and Multinational Firms’ FDI Entry Decisions
HU TIANYOU
2024-09
Size of Audience20
Type of Speakerpresenter
AbstractThe succession of rulers in authoritarian regimes creates uncertainties and sudden changes in policies affecting foreign investments (FDI). Foreign firms must assess potential succession, considering both the current environment and future trends when making investment decisions. We propose that succession generally discourages FDI entries, but the international influence of the deceased king, a smooth power transition, and the attitudes of successors toward foreign investments are critical factors for future investment. We examine the successions in the six oil-rich Arab countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and their impact on Japanese FDI entries from 1990 to 2019. Our results show that Japanese firms are less likely to enter a GCC country during a succession following the king's death. This negative impact is stronger when the deceased king had significant foreign recognition but is mitigated if the succession is supported by the military power of the successors. Additionally, when successors display potential for fostering a more friendly and open environment, indicated by their political experience, education level, overseas experience, and age, the negative impact of succession is further reduced.
KeywordSuccession, Political Risks, Authoritarian Regime, Uncertainties, Fdi Entry
Source PublicationBritish Academy of Management 2024 Annual Meeting
Conference Date2024-09-04
Conference PlaceNottingham, U.K.
Language英語English
Document TypePresentation
CollectionUniversity of Macau
AffiliationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
HU TIANYOU. Monarchical Succession and Multinational Firms’ FDI Entry Decisions[Z]. British Academy of Management 2024 Annual Meeting, 2024-09-04.
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