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Machine learning-based analysis of volatility quantitative investment strategies for American financial stocks
Yan, Keyue1; Li, Ying2
2024
Source PublicationQuantitative Finance and Economics
ISSN2573-0134
Volume8Issue:2Pages:364-386
Abstract

Volatility, a pivotal factor in the financial stock market, encapsulates the dynamic nature of asset prices and reflects both instability and risk. A volatility quantitative investment strategy is a methodology that utilizes information about volatility to guide investors in trading and profit-making. With the goal of enhancing the effectiveness and robustness of investment strategies, our methodology involved three prominent time series models with six machine learning models: K-nearest neighbors, AdaBoost, CatBoost, LightGBM, XGBoost, and random forest, which meticulously captured the intricate patterns within historical volatility data. These models synergistically combined to create eighteen novel fusion models to predict volatility with precision. By integrating the forecasting results with quantitative investing principles, we constructed a new strategy that achieved better returns in twelve selected American financial stocks. For investors navigating the real stock market, our findings serve as a valuable reference, potentially securing an average annualized return of approximately 5 to 10% for the American financial stocks under scrutiny in our research.

KeywordMachine Learning Quantitative Investment Time Series Volatility Prediction
DOI10.3934/QFE.2024014
URLView the original
Indexed ByESCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectBusiness & Economics
WOS IDWOS:001246704700001
PublisherAMER INST MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES-AIMSPO BOX 2604, SPRINGFIELD, MO 65801-2604, UNITED STATES
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85196751220
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionCHOI KAI YAU COLLEGE
Corresponding AuthorLi, Ying
Affiliation1.Choi Kai Yau College, University of Macau, Macau, China
2.College of Global Talents, Beijing Institute of Technology (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Yan, Keyue,Li, Ying. Machine learning-based analysis of volatility quantitative investment strategies for American financial stocks[J]. Quantitative Finance and Economics, 2024, 8(2), 364-386.
APA Yan, Keyue., & Li, Ying (2024). Machine learning-based analysis of volatility quantitative investment strategies for American financial stocks. Quantitative Finance and Economics, 8(2), 364-386.
MLA Yan, Keyue,et al."Machine learning-based analysis of volatility quantitative investment strategies for American financial stocks".Quantitative Finance and Economics 8.2(2024):364-386.
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