Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
A neural network forecasting system for daily air quality index in Macau | |
Mok K.M.; Tam S.C.; Yan P.; Lam L.H. | |
2000-12-01 | |
Conference Name | 8th International Conference on Air Pollution |
Source Publication | Advances in Air Pollution |
Volume | 8 |
Pages | 41-50 |
Conference Date | JUL 24-26, 2000 |
Conference Place | UNIV CAMBRIDGE, CAMBRIDGE, ENGLAND |
Publisher | WIT PRESS, ASHURST LODGE, SOUTHAMPTON SO40 7AA, ASHURST, ENGLAND |
Abstract | Using the data recorded at the Northern Zone monitoring air-quality monitoring station at Macau during April to June of 1999 as the training and testing data set, a three-layered feed-forward neural network is developed to predict the one-day ahead daily air quality index (AQI) at that area. Various input selection ranging from using the past three day measurements to the past twelve day measurements are tested against different number of hidden layer neurons. It is found experimentally that using only the past three days values as input with 8 neurons in the hidden layer give the best testing results. This setting is adopted as the basic setting of the developed model. It is then applied to forecast the sub-index of each measured pollutant and the predicted AQI is set as the maximum of the forecasted sub-index. The forecasted AQIs are compared with the actual measurements of July 1999. It is found that the mean absolute percentage error is about 16 % and 97% of the forecasts give the correct main contribution pollutant. These promising results indicate that an efficient AQI-prediction system for Macau could be developed based on the application of neural network. |
DOI | 10.2495/AIR000041 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS Subject | Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS ID | WOS:000089937400005 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-2942523312 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Conference paper |
Collection | DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING Faculty of Science and Technology DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS |
Affiliation | Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau, China |
First Author Affilication | Faculty of Science and Technology |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Mok K.M.,Tam S.C.,Yan P.,et al. A neural network forecasting system for daily air quality index in Macau[C]:WIT PRESS, ASHURST LODGE, SOUTHAMPTON SO40 7AA, ASHURST, ENGLAND, 2000, 41-50. |
APA | Mok K.M.., Tam S.C.., Yan P.., & Lam L.H. (2000). A neural network forecasting system for daily air quality index in Macau. Advances in Air Pollution, 8, 41-50. |
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