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Characterizing multivariate, asymmetric, and multimodal distributions of geotechnical data with dual-stage missing values: BASIC-H
Mu, He Qing1,2; Zhao, Zi Tong3,4; Yuen, Ka Veng3,4
2024-01
Source PublicationGeorisk
ISSN1749-9518
Volume18Issue:1Pages:85-106
Abstract

Characterizing probability distributions of geotechnical data plays an important role in data-centric geotechnics. On the one hand, geotechnical data are Multivariate, Uncertain, and Irregular (MUI), where the irregular characteristic implies that asymmetry and/or multimodality are often observed in the histograms of geotechnical data, so the corresponding probability distribution is Multivariate, Asymmetric, and Multimodal (MAM). On the other hand, many geotechnical datasets are unavoidably subjected to the issue of modelling and prediction stages missing values (called “dual-stage missing values”), so characterising the MAM distribution of geotechnical data with dual-stage missing values becomes an essential task. There are three fundamental difficulties for this purpose. The first is on joint Probability Density Function (PDF) modelling for a MAM distribution given data with modelling stage missing values. Many traditional and advanced approaches collapse in the presence of MAM distributions and modelling stages missing values, respectively. The second is on joint PDF prediction for a MAM distribution given data with prediction stage missing values. The third is on Credible Region (CR) construction of a MAM distribution as there is no unique CR of a MAM distribution given an exceedance probability only. We propose the three-stage BAyeSIan Copula-based Highest density region/contour (BASIC-H). Stage-1 constructs the posterior distribution of data with modelling stage missing values based on Copula theory and Bayesian inference. Stage-2 derives the posterior predictive distribution of data with prediction stage missing values based on marginalisation and conditionalisation of the posterior distribution. Stage-3 constructs the CRs for the posterior and predictive distributions adopting the reasonable constraint imposed by the Highest Density Region (HDR). Examples using simulated data, CLAY/10/7490 and CLAY/5/345 are presented to illustrate the capability of the proposed BASIC-H.

KeywordAsymmetric And Multimodal Distribution Bayesian Inference Copula Theory Credible Region Missing Values Multivariate Distribution
DOI10.1080/17499518.2024.2313482
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Geology
WOS SubjectEngineering, Geological ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS IDWOS:001158165900001
PublisherTAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD, 2-4 PARK SQUARE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON OR14 4RN, OXON, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85184894711
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionTHE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Faculty of Science and Technology
DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
Corresponding AuthorMu, He Qing; Yuen, Ka Veng
Affiliation1.School of Civil Engineering and Transportation, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, China
2.State Key Laboratory of Subtropical Building Science, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, China
3.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macao
4.Guangdong–Hong Kong-Macau Joint Laboratory for Smart Cities, China
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Mu, He Qing,Zhao, Zi Tong,Yuen, Ka Veng. Characterizing multivariate, asymmetric, and multimodal distributions of geotechnical data with dual-stage missing values: BASIC-H[J]. Georisk, 2024, 18(1), 85-106.
APA Mu, He Qing., Zhao, Zi Tong., & Yuen, Ka Veng (2024). Characterizing multivariate, asymmetric, and multimodal distributions of geotechnical data with dual-stage missing values: BASIC-H. Georisk, 18(1), 85-106.
MLA Mu, He Qing,et al."Characterizing multivariate, asymmetric, and multimodal distributions of geotechnical data with dual-stage missing values: BASIC-H".Georisk 18.1(2024):85-106.
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