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Research and application of a Model selection forecasting system for wind speed and theoretical power generation in wind farms based on classification and wind conversion
Huang, Xiaojia1; Wang, Chen2; Zhang, Shenghui3
2024-02-13
Source PublicationEnergy
ISSN0360-5442
Volume293Pages:130606
Abstract

This study focuses on ensuring the stable operation of the power grid by accurately forecasting the theoretical power generation capacity of wind turbine units, especially in scenarios integrating significant amounts of renewable energy into the grid. The forecasting process involves two key steps: initially forecasting wind speeds and then estimating theoretical power generation using wind turbine power conversion curves. This article proposes a wind speed forecasting system based on deep learning, integrating multiple hybrid models and employing deep learning algorithms to select the optimal wind speed hybrid forecasting model, optimized by the multi-objective mayfly optimization algorithm. Additionally, a wind energy conversion simulation system for wind turbines has been developed, precisely simulating the physical process of converting wind energy into electrical energy. This system, in conjunction with wind speed forecasting, estimates the theoretical power generation of wind farms. The results of this research hold significant practical implications for enhancing the operational efficiency of wind power, strengthening the grid's supply-demand balance, and increasing the economic and environmental value of wind power projects.

KeywordModel Selection Multi-objective Optimization Algorithm Theoretical Power Generation Wind Speed Forecasting
DOI10.1016/j.energy.2024.130606
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaThermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS SubjectThermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS IDWOS:001198560100001
PublisherPERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD, THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85186529152
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorWang, Chen
Affiliation1.School of Information Science & Engineering, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China
2.School of Data Science and Engineering, South China Normal University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510006, China
3.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, Department of Computer and Information Science Organization, University of Macau, Macau, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Huang, Xiaojia,Wang, Chen,Zhang, Shenghui. Research and application of a Model selection forecasting system for wind speed and theoretical power generation in wind farms based on classification and wind conversion[J]. Energy, 2024, 293, 130606.
APA Huang, Xiaojia., Wang, Chen., & Zhang, Shenghui (2024). Research and application of a Model selection forecasting system for wind speed and theoretical power generation in wind farms based on classification and wind conversion. Energy, 293, 130606.
MLA Huang, Xiaojia,et al."Research and application of a Model selection forecasting system for wind speed and theoretical power generation in wind farms based on classification and wind conversion".Energy 293(2024):130606.
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