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Comprehensive Seq2Seq Attention Model for Typhoon Trajectory Forecasting
Liang, Zijun1; Yuan, Yifeng2; Aiersilan, Aizierjiang1; Shan, Fangfang3; Li, Yufei4; Su, Guanpeng5
2023-09
Conference NameThe 4th International Conference on Information Science, Parallel and Distributed Systems(ISPDS 2023)
Source Publication2023 4th International Conference on Information Science, Parallel and Distributed Systems, ISPDS 2023
Pages330-333
Conference DateMay 12-14, 2023
Conference PlaceGuangzhou, China
PublisherIEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC, 445 HOES LANE, PISCATAWAY, NJ 08855-4141
Abstract

Typhoons are powerful tropical cyclones that often result in devastating secondary effects due to their high destructive potential. Therefore, accurate forecasting of typhoon paths is of great importance for timely and effective disaster warnings. This study proposes a typhoon prediction model based on Seq2Seq attention, which addresses the performance degradation issue in the encoder-decoder structure when predicting long sequences. The model effectively captures long-term dependencies, ensures convergence, mitigates the problem of gradient vanishing or exploding, and improves prediction accuracy. To evaluate the model, typhoon data from the China Typhoon Network spanning from 2000 to 2022 were used. The Seq2Seq attention model is compared with TCN, LSTM and Seq2Seq model to forecast the typhoon trajectory for a 12-hour period. The results indicate that the Seq2Seq attention model outperforms other prediction methods, demonstrating its effectiveness in this study based on superior forecasting accuracy.

KeywordDnn Seq2seq Attention Typhoon Trajectory Forecasting
DOI10.1109/ISPDS58840.2023.10235339
URLView the original
Language英語English
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85172899529
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeConference paper
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
INSTITUTE OF COLLABORATIVE INNOVATION
Corresponding AuthorSu, Guanpeng
Affiliation1.University of Macau, Faculty of Science and Technology, Macau, SAR, Macao
2.South China Normal University, School of Information and Optoelectronic Science and Engineering, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
3.Zhuhai College of Science and Technology, Zhuhai, Guangdong Province, China
4.Macao Polytechnic University, Faculty of Applied Sciences, Macau, SAR, Macao
5.University of Macau, Institute of Collaborative Innovation, Macau, SAR, Macao
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Science and Technology
Corresponding Author AffilicationINSTITUTE OF COLLABORATIVE INNOVATION
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Liang, Zijun,Yuan, Yifeng,Aiersilan, Aizierjiang,et al. Comprehensive Seq2Seq Attention Model for Typhoon Trajectory Forecasting[C]:IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC, 445 HOES LANE, PISCATAWAY, NJ 08855-4141, 2023, 330-333.
APA Liang, Zijun., Yuan, Yifeng., Aiersilan, Aizierjiang., Shan, Fangfang., Li, Yufei., & Su, Guanpeng (2023). Comprehensive Seq2Seq Attention Model for Typhoon Trajectory Forecasting. 2023 4th International Conference on Information Science, Parallel and Distributed Systems, ISPDS 2023, 330-333.
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