Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Nonlinear causal relationships between urbanization and extreme climate events in China | |
Zhao, Qikang1,2,6; Gao, Liang1,3; Meng, Qingyan2,4,5; Zhu, Mingming1; Xiong, Meiyu6 | |
2024 | |
Source Publication | Journal of Cleaner Production |
ABS Journal Level | 2 |
ISSN | 0959-6526 |
Volume | 434Pages:139889 |
Abstract | China has undergone rapid urbanization since 1980s, which could in return alter the occurrences of regional weather and sequential hazards, posing challenges to sustainable development of human society. However, casual relationships between urbanization and climate extremes are still poorly understood. In this study, causal relationships between urbanization and extreme temperature/precipitation are quantified using a nonlinear Granger causality framework. Causal hotspots are observed not only in major urban agglomerations but well as in less urbanized areas. For both temperature and precipitation extremes, the impact of urbanization could last within 5 years (mainly 4 years).The causality varies greatly with different climate background, but the contribution of urbanization to extreme temperature and precipitation exhibits a high level of consistency in individual city. Urbanization has profoundly causal relationships with nighttime extreme heat with higher morbidity and mortality to urban residents. Averagely, urbanization causally accounts for almost 36.9% to temperature extremes. On the other hand, urbanization has higher casual contribution to total precipitation. The inland regions are more likely to be affected by urbanization than coastal regions due to weak monsoon influence. On average, urbanization causally accounts for almost 39.7% to precipitation indices. This study innovatively reveals the significant causal relationships between urbanization and extreme temperature/precipitation changing patterns of China, providing valuable insights for developing sustainable cities in the future. |
Keyword | Urbanization Effects Extreme Events Nonlinear Granger Causality Climate Change |
DOI | 10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.139889 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS Subject | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS ID | WOS:001131168400001 |
Publisher | ELSEVIER SCI LTD, 125 London Wall, London EC2Y 5AS, ENGLAND |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85178580920 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU) |
Corresponding Author | Gao, Liang; Meng, Qingyan |
Affiliation | 1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Ocean Science and Technology, University of Macau, Macao, China 2.Aerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China 3.Centre for Ocean Research in Hong Kong and Macao, Macao, China 4.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China 5.Key Laboratory of Earth Observation of Hainan Province, Hainan Aerospace Information Research Institute, Sanya, China 6.School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Zhao, Qikang,Gao, Liang,Meng, Qingyan,et al. Nonlinear causal relationships between urbanization and extreme climate events in China[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2024, 434, 139889. |
APA | Zhao, Qikang., Gao, Liang., Meng, Qingyan., Zhu, Mingming., & Xiong, Meiyu (2024). Nonlinear causal relationships between urbanization and extreme climate events in China. Journal of Cleaner Production, 434, 139889. |
MLA | Zhao, Qikang,et al."Nonlinear causal relationships between urbanization and extreme climate events in China".Journal of Cleaner Production 434(2024):139889. |
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