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The interactive impact of textual and numerical voluntary disclosure on default risk pricing
Can Chen1; ZHANG HAO1; Jijie Yan1; Wei, Minghai2,3
2023-10
Source PublicationAccounting and Business Research
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN0001-4788
Abstract

The management forecast report (MFR) is an important form of forward-looking but voluntary firm-level disclosure. The credit default swap (CDS) spread reflects the default risk premium charged by the market on the underlying debtor firm. This study investigates the impact of textual information and the interactive verifying impact of textual and numerical information in MFRs on the pricing of a debtor firm’s default risk premium as measured by CDS premium. First, we find that the abnormal changes in CDS premium around a MFR issuance date are inversely associated with (1) the textual quality and (2) negatively associated with the extent of positive textual news conveyed in the MFR issued by the referenced debtor firms. Second, we find that the significant and negative association between CDS premiums and textual news of a referenced debtor firm’s MFR is qualified by the textual readability of the MFR. Third, we find that the significant and negative association between CDS premiums and the numerical news of a referenced debtor firm’s MFR is qualified by the textual readability of the MFR. Collectively, our evidence suggests that CDS counterparties use contemporaneous textual readability to verify the quality of incentive-driven information disclosure in both the textual mode and numerical mode before impounding it into the default risk price.

KeywordTextual Information Quality Textual Information Content, Forward-looking Disclosure Multi-modal Information Default Risk Pricing Credit Default Swap
DOI10.1080/00014788.2024.2381507
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance
WOS IDWOS:001291399800001
PublisherROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD2-4 PARK SQUARE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON OX14 4RN, OXON, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85201284227
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT
Corresponding AuthorZHANG HAO
Affiliation1.Department of Accounting and Information Management, Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Macao
2.Department of Accounting, Guangzhou University, Guangdong, China
3.The Center for Accounting and Corporate Finance, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangdong, China
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Corresponding Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Can Chen,ZHANG HAO,Jijie Yan,et al. The interactive impact of textual and numerical voluntary disclosure on default risk pricing[J]. Accounting and Business Research, 2023.
APA Can Chen., ZHANG HAO., Jijie Yan., & Wei, Minghai (2023). The interactive impact of textual and numerical voluntary disclosure on default risk pricing. Accounting and Business Research.
MLA Can Chen,et al."The interactive impact of textual and numerical voluntary disclosure on default risk pricing".Accounting and Business Research (2023).
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