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Probabilistic integrated flexible regions of multi-energy industrial parks: Conceptualization and characterization
Hengyu Hui1; Minglei Bao1; Yi Ding1; Jinyue Yan2,3; Yonghua Song4
2023-07-27
Source PublicationApplied Energy
ISSN0306-2619
Volume349Pages:121521
Abstract

Multi-energy industrial parks, composed of the district energy supply system and terminal industrial loads, are dominant energy consumers with over 50% occupation of total energy consumption. Considering the energy conversion in the district energy supply system and adjustment of production subtasks in terminal industrial loads, the industrial parks could provide considerable flexibility for utility multi-energy systems to deal with contingencies. However, industrial parks may have multiple uncertainties originating from the production subtasks' variability, distributed renewable energy's fluctuation, and random failures of equipment. These uncertainties could make the flexibility assessment of industrial parks unreliable, which may further exacerbate utility system risks. To address the problem, this paper innovatively proposes the concept of probabilistic integrated flexible regions and corresponding characterization approaches, which can effectively describe the credible multi-energy adjustment ability of industrial parks. First, the energy-material flows in the industrial park are modeled considering multiple uncertainties while subject to constraints such as operating limits of equipment, energy and material balancing, and production targets. Then, the modeling and calculation methods of probabilistic integrated flexible regions are given. These regions are labeled with certain probability requirements and visualized in the input multi-energy space. Using a real-world test system that produces air conditioning equipment in China, the results show that the proposed model can effectively reflect the probability characteristics of the integrated flexibility under multiple uncertainties. For this test system, the area of a highly credible integrated flexibility, represented by the probabilistic integrated flexible region with 99% probability, is about half of that obtained by the deterministic model. That is, half of the integrated flexibility evaluated by the deterministic method in the test system may not be practically utilized considering the impacts of uncertainties. Therefore, the proposed method could provide a credible and comprehensive evaluation of the multi-energy industrial park's flexibility considering multiple uncertainties.

KeywordDistributed Renewable Energy Industrial Load Multi-energy Industrial Park Probabilistic Integrated Flexible Region Uncertainty
DOI10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121521
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEnergy & Fuels ; Engineering
WOS SubjectEnergy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS IDWOS:001050251900001
PublisherELSEVIER SCI LTDTHE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, OXON, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85165931951
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionTHE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Faculty of Science and Technology
Corresponding AuthorMinglei Bao; Yi Ding
Affiliation1.College of Electrical Engineering, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, 310027, China
2.Future Energy Center, Mälardalen University, Västerås, Sweden
3.Department of Building Environment and Energy Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, 999077, Hong Kong
4.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau, Macau, 999078, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Hengyu Hui,Minglei Bao,Yi Ding,et al. Probabilistic integrated flexible regions of multi-energy industrial parks: Conceptualization and characterization[J]. Applied Energy, 2023, 349, 121521.
APA Hengyu Hui., Minglei Bao., Yi Ding., Jinyue Yan., & Yonghua Song (2023). Probabilistic integrated flexible regions of multi-energy industrial parks: Conceptualization and characterization. Applied Energy, 349, 121521.
MLA Hengyu Hui,et al."Probabilistic integrated flexible regions of multi-energy industrial parks: Conceptualization and characterization".Applied Energy 349(2023):121521.
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