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Prediction of the root anchorage of native young plants using Bayesian inference
W.M. Yan1; L. Zhang2; F.T.Y. Leung3; Ka-Veng Yuen4
2016-07-22
Source PublicationUrban Forestry and Urban Greening
ISSN1618-8667
Volume19Pages:237-252
Abstract

The maximum vertical uproot resistance (P) of a plant can be used to indicate its stability. Attempts were made to predict the P of a plant empirically from some of its size parameters. In practice, an infinite number of empirical models with different complexities can be formulated. This study presents a Bayesian model class selection method to evaluate the plausibility of each empirical model among a list of model candidates. The models were ranked to identify the most plausible one. A database of vertical uproot resistance of four shrubs and trees native to Hong Kong was first compiled by performing field uproot tests. The plant size parameters including height, basal diameter, canopy size, and above-ground dry weight, were measured before the uprooting. Second, the mathematical formulation of the Bayesian model class selection method was presented. Using this method the most plausible model for each studied species or plant type was identified. The uncertainty of the model coefficients and therefore the credibility of the predictions were quantified. The selected models were used to predict the P of the studied plants in some additional tests. It was found that the P of the studied species could be reliably predicted from the established simple empirical formulas containing only the height and/or basal diameter of the plant as the dependent variables. The study paves the way for nondestructive and reliable prediction of plant anchorage.

KeywordBasal Diameter Bayesian Analysis Field Pullout Test Root Anchorage Young Plants
DOI10.1016/j.ufug.2016.06.027
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE ; SSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaPlant Sciences ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Forestry ; Urban Studies
WOS SubjectPlant Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Forestry ; Urban Studies
WOS IDWOS:000386190500027
PublisherELSEVIER GMBH, HACKERBRUCKE 6, 80335 MUNICH, GERMANY
Scopus ID2-s2.0-84982811824
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Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
Corresponding AuthorW.M. Yan
Affiliation1.Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The University of Auckland, Auckland 1010, New Zealand
2.Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, China
3.Faculty of Design and Environment, Technological and Higher Education Institute of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
4.Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macao, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
W.M. Yan,L. Zhang,F.T.Y. Leung,et al. Prediction of the root anchorage of native young plants using Bayesian inference[J]. Urban Forestry and Urban Greening, 2016, 19, 237-252.
APA W.M. Yan., L. Zhang., F.T.Y. Leung., & Ka-Veng Yuen (2016). Prediction of the root anchorage of native young plants using Bayesian inference. Urban Forestry and Urban Greening, 19, 237-252.
MLA W.M. Yan,et al."Prediction of the root anchorage of native young plants using Bayesian inference".Urban Forestry and Urban Greening 19(2016):237-252.
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