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Managerial Macro-Cognition and Management Forecast -Evidence from MD&A Textual Information
Alternative Title高管宏观认知与管理层预测—基于MD&A文本信息的经验证据
Luo, Y. G.1; Rao, P. G.2; Chen, C.3
2024
Source PublicationNankai Business Review (in chinese)
Volume27Issue:2Pages:236-245
Abstract

Based on the text information of management discussion and analysis (MD&A), the Managerial Macro-Cognition (MMC) index of executives is constructed to empirically test the impact of executives' macro-cognition ability on management’s earnings forecast. The study finds that MMC can significantly improve the accuracy of management’s earnings forecast and reduce management’s forecast error. Relative to the backward-looking of the MD&A, the MMC in the forward-looking has a stronger impact on management’s forecast. The heterogeneity test finds that the relationship is more significant when firms are in cyclical industries, have a low competitive market position, and voluntarily disclose earnings forecasts. Further analysis finds that firms with higher MMC have stronger capital market responses to earnings information, better corporate performance, lower volatility, and more macro-information content in performance forecasts. This paper internalizes the impact of macro-micro to the firm level, it has important implications for improving the quality of information disclosure of listed companies.

KeywordManagerial Macro-cognition (Mmc) Management Forecast Macroeconomic Environment
URLView the original
Indexed ByCSSCI
Language中文Chinese
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT
Corresponding AuthorRao, P. G.
Affiliation1.Management School, Guangzhou University
2.Management School, Jinan University
3.Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Luo, Y. G.,Rao, P. G.,Chen, C.. Managerial Macro-Cognition and Management Forecast -Evidence from MD&A Textual Information[J]. Nankai Business Review (in chinese), 2024, 27(2), 236-245.
APA Luo, Y. G.., Rao, P. G.., & Chen, C. (2024). Managerial Macro-Cognition and Management Forecast -Evidence from MD&A Textual Information. Nankai Business Review (in chinese), 27(2), 236-245.
MLA Luo, Y. G.,et al."Managerial Macro-Cognition and Management Forecast -Evidence from MD&A Textual Information".Nankai Business Review (in chinese) 27.2(2024):236-245.
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