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Robust Location Prediction over Sparse Spatiotemporal Trajectory Data: Flashback to the Right Moment!
Deng, Bangchao1; Yang, Dingqi1; Qu, Bingqing2; Fankhauser, Benjamin3; Cudre-Mauroux, Philippe4
2023-09
Source PublicationACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology
ISSN2157-6904
Volume14Issue:5Pages:90
Abstract

As a fundamental problem in human mobility modeling, location prediction forecasts a user's next location based on historical user mobility trajectories. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have beenwidely used to capture sequential patterns of user visited locations for solving location prediction problems. Due to the sparse nature of real-world user mobility trajectories, existing techniques strive to improve RNNs by incorporating spatiotemporal contexts into the recurrent hidden state passing process of RNNs using context-parameterized transition matrices or gates. However, such a scheme mismatches universal spatiotemporal mobility laws and thus cannot fully benefit from rich spatiotemporal contexts encoded in user mobility trajectories. Against this background, we propose Flashback++, a general RNN architecture designed for modeling sparse user mobility trajectories. It not only leverages rich spatiotemporal contexts to search past hidden states with high predictive power but also learns to optimally combine them via a hidden state re-weighting mechanism, which significantly improves the robustness of the models against different settings and datasets. Our extensive evaluation compares Flashback++ against a sizable collection of state-of-the-art techniques on two real-world location-based social networks datasets and one on-campus mobility dataset. Results show that Flashback++ not only consistently and significantly outperforms all baseline techniques by 20.56% to 44.36% but also achieves better robustness of location prediction performance against different model settings (different RNN architectures and numbers of hidden states to flash back), different levels of trajectory sparsity, and different train-testing splitting ratios than baselines, yielding an improvement of 31.05% to 94.60%.

KeywordLocation Prediction Sparse Trajectory User Mobility Recurrent Neural Networks
DOI10.1145/3616541
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaComputer Science
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Computer Science, Information Systems
WOS IDWOS:001087277500014
PublisherASSOC COMPUTING MACHINERY, 1601 Broadway, 10th Floor, NEW YORK, NY 10019-7434
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85174947233
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Corresponding AuthorYang, Dingqi
Affiliation1.University of Macau
2.BNU-HKBU United International College
3.Bern University of Applied Sciences
4.EXascale Infolab, University of Fribourg, Fribourg, 1700, Switzerland
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Deng, Bangchao,Yang, Dingqi,Qu, Bingqing,et al. Robust Location Prediction over Sparse Spatiotemporal Trajectory Data: Flashback to the Right Moment![J]. ACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology, 2023, 14(5), 90.
APA Deng, Bangchao., Yang, Dingqi., Qu, Bingqing., Fankhauser, Benjamin., & Cudre-Mauroux, Philippe (2023). Robust Location Prediction over Sparse Spatiotemporal Trajectory Data: Flashback to the Right Moment!. ACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology, 14(5), 90.
MLA Deng, Bangchao,et al."Robust Location Prediction over Sparse Spatiotemporal Trajectory Data: Flashback to the Right Moment!".ACM Transactions on Intelligent Systems and Technology 14.5(2023):90.
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